Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Fausto Tabacco
Updated
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini beat Fausto Tabacco 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Fausto Tabacco at 80%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Mordini is 5-5 in their last 10, Tabacco 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Fausto Tabacco a 80% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Fausto Tabacco at -714 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Fausto Tabacco | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6350 | 6510 |
| Tour rank | ATP #955 | ATP #510 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 6-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 38-31 | 62-29 |
| UTR | 13.16 | 13.91 |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X |
| 13.10.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | 6-4, 6-2 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX |
Recent form
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Matteo Gribaldo | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Gabriele Maria Noce | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Fausto Tabacco | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Giannicola Misasi | L | 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Jannik Maute | W | 6-1, 4-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Lorenzo Carboni | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Alexander Weis | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Gabriele Crivellaro | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Mattias Pisanu | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
Fausto Tabacco, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Giulio Stella | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marcel Zielinski | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Alexander Weis | L | 6-4, 0-6, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Daniel Rincon | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez | W | 6-0, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Inaki Montes De La Torre | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | Fausto Tabacco |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Weis | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 0-6, 6-3 |
| Gabriele Bosio | 0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
| Georgii Kravchenko | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 1-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 6-3, W 0-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-0 |
| Kirill Kivattsev | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 2-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Matthew William Donald | 0-1 L 7-6, 3-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
| Petr Nesterov | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| William Rejchtman Vinciguerra | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Fausto Tabacco 80% at -588
- 2026-10-12: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Fausto Tabacco 80% at -588
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Fausto Tabacco: quick answers
Who won Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Fausto Tabacco?
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini beat Fausto Tabacco 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Fausto Tabacco at 80%.
What is the head-to-head record between Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Fausto Tabacco?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.
Who is in better form, Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini or Fausto Tabacco?
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Fausto Tabacco is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Fausto Tabacco?
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is rated 6350 (ATP #955) and Fausto Tabacco is rated 6510 (ATP #510). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini vs Fausto Tabacco?
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini is priced at +357 and Fausto Tabacco at -714, which implies a 22% and 88% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.