Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian
Updated
Valerio Aboian beat Facundo Mena 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Facundo Mena at 77%. Valerio Aboian leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Mena is 5-5 in their last 10, Aboian 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Facundo Mena a 77% favorite. At -263 the sportsbook implies 72% for Facundo Mena, 4 points below the model's 77%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Facundo Mena at -263 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Facundo Mena | Valerio Aboian | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6631 | 6588 |
| Tour rank | ATP #307 | ATP #372 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 5-4 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 49-27 | 56-34 |
| UTR | 14.37 | 13.82 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1478 | 1386 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Valerio Aboian leads 3-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 | Colombia Cali |
| 30.06.2026 | Valerio Aboian | 6-2, 6-0 | Ecuador Quito |
| 15.04.2026 | Valerio Aboian | 7-5, 6-4 | Bolivia Santa Cruz |
Recent form
Facundo Mena, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Valerio Aboian | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Nicolas Kicker | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Nicolas Kicker | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Pedro Boscardin Dias | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Luis Guto Miguel | L | 6-2, 2-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Alex Barrena | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 26.09.2026 | Pedro Boscardin Dias | W | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 25.09.2026 | Nicolas Kicker | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Guido Ivan Justo | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Renzo Olivo | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
Valerio Aboian, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Felipe Meligeni Alves | W | 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Miguel Tobon | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Matias Soto | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Facundo Mena | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Franco Roncadelli | L | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Facundo Mena | Valerio Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Chun Hsin Tseng | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Hugo Dellien | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Juan Estevez | 1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
0-2 L 4-6, 6-1, 6-0, L 7-6, 6-2 |
| Matias Soto | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Miguel Tobon | 0-1 L 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 |
1-0 W 1-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | 2-0 W 7-5, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-0 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: ATP Cali (VII) (Colombia), model gave Facundo Mena 77% at -263
Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian: quick answers
Who won Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian?
Valerio Aboian beat Facundo Mena 2-6, 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Facundo Mena at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Facundo Mena and Valerio Aboian?
Valerio Aboian leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Valerio Aboian 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 at Colombia Cali.
Who is in better form, Facundo Mena or Valerio Aboian?
Facundo Mena is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Valerio Aboian is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Facundo Mena and Valerio Aboian?
Facundo Mena is rated 6631 (ATP #307) and Valerio Aboian is rated 6588 (ATP #372). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian?
Facundo Mena is priced at -263 and Valerio Aboian at +194, which implies a 72% and 34% chance to win. The model rates Facundo Mena 4 points higher than the odds do (77% vs 72%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.