Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Thiago Agustin Tirante, giving them a 78% chance to win against Facundo Diaz Acosta (22%). Facundo Diaz Acosta leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Acosta is 5-5 in their last 10, Tirante 4-6. At -278, the odds imply 74% for Thiago Agustin Tirante, below the model's 78%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Thiago Agustin Tirante a 78% favorite. At -278 the sportsbook implies 74% for Thiago Agustin Tirante, 5 points below the model's 78%.
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Thiago Agustin Tirante at -278 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Thiago Agustin Tirante | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6794 | 6875 |
| Tour rank | ATP #125 | ATP #57 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 53-25 | 34-25 |
| UTR | 15.14 | 15.54 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1722 | 1799 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Facundo Diaz Acosta leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Facundo Diaz Acosta, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Nuno Borges | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Daniel Elahi Galan | L | 5-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Dusan Lajovic | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 12.09.2026 | Jaume Munar | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.09.2026 | Sebastian Ofner | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 07.9.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
Thiago Agustin Tirante, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | L | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Hamad Medjedovic | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | Mert Alkaya | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 30.08.2026 | Adrian Mannarino | L | 4-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.08.2026 | Arthur Fils | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 19.08.2026 | Jakub Mensik | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 17.08.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Thiago Agustin Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-2 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3, L 7-6, 6-7, 6-1 |
| Learner Tien | 0-1 L 7-5, 4-6, 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 |
| Sebastian Ofner | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Thiago Agustin Tirante 77% at -323
- 2026-10-18: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Thiago Agustin Tirante 77% at -323
Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante: quick answers
Who will win Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Thiago Agustin Tirante, giving them a 78% chance to win against Facundo Diaz Acosta (22%).
What is the head-to-head record between Facundo Diaz Acosta and Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Facundo Diaz Acosta leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Facundo Diaz Acosta or Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Facundo Diaz Acosta is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Thiago Agustin Tirante is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Facundo Diaz Acosta and Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Facundo Diaz Acosta is rated 6794 (ATP #125) and Thiago Agustin Tirante is rated 6875 (ATP #57). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Thiago Agustin Tirante?
Facundo Diaz Acosta is priced at +210 and Thiago Agustin Tirante at -278, which implies a 32% and 74% chance to win. The model rates Thiago Agustin Tirante 5 points higher than the odds do (78% vs 74%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.