Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki
Updated
Shintaro Mochizuki beat Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-2, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Facundo Diaz Acosta at 67%. Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Acosta is 5-5 in their last 10, Mochizuki 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Facundo Diaz Acosta a 67% favorite. At -139 the sportsbook implies 58% for Facundo Diaz Acosta, 9 points below the model's 67%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Facundo Diaz Acosta at -139 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Shintaro Mochizuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6794 | 6757 |
| Tour rank | ATP #125 | ATP #150 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-2 | 3-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 53-25 | 26-36 |
| UTR | 15.14 | 14.49 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1732 | 1560 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 6-2, 7-6 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Facundo Diaz Acosta, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Nuno Borges | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Daniel Elahi Galan | L | 5-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Dusan Lajovic | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 12.09.2026 | Jaume Munar | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 11.09.2026 | Sebastian Ofner | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 07.9.2026 | Pol Martin Tiffon | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
Shintaro Mochizuki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Dane Sweeny | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Taro Daniel | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Jaime Faria | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Martin Damm | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Facundo Diaz Acosta | Shintaro Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Agustin Gomez | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Federico Cina | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Remy Bertola | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 2-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Facundo Diaz Acosta 67% at -139
Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki: quick answers
Who won Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Shintaro Mochizuki beat Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-2, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Facundo Diaz Acosta at 67%.
What is the head-to-head record between Facundo Diaz Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki?
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Shintaro Mochizuki 6-2, 7-6 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Facundo Diaz Acosta or Shintaro Mochizuki?
Facundo Diaz Acosta is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Shintaro Mochizuki is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Facundo Diaz Acosta and Shintaro Mochizuki?
Facundo Diaz Acosta is rated 6794 (ATP #125) and Shintaro Mochizuki is rated 6757 (ATP #150). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Facundo Diaz Acosta is priced at -139 and Shintaro Mochizuki at +102, which implies a 58% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Facundo Diaz Acosta 9 points higher than the odds do (67% vs 58%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.