Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta

ATP Shangai - Masters (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 09:00.

Updated

Nuno Borges beat Facundo Diaz Acosta 7-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Nuno Borges leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Borges is 6-4 in their last 10, Acosta 5-5.

Result: Nuno Borges beat Facundo Diaz Acosta 7-6, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nuno Borges a 80% favorite. At -294 the sportsbook implies 75% for Nuno Borges, 6 points below the model's 80%.

Model
80%
Book
75%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model
20%
Book
31%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nuno Borges at -294 · Model track record

Player comparison

Nuno BorgesFacundo Diaz Acosta
Tennis Gauge rating69226794
Tour rankATP #26ATP #125
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days1-14-1
Current streak2 Wins1 Loss
Season record31-2853-25
UTR15.8515.14
Elo (52 weeks)18131752
Best surfaceHardClay
Worst surfaceGrassGrass

Head to head

Nuno Borges leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Nuno Borges7-6, 6-2China Shangai - Masters

Recent form

Nuno Borges, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Casper Ruud W1-6, 6-3, 6-4
26.10.2026Mika Brunold W6-3, 6-1
10.10.2026Jiri Lehecka L6-3, 3-6, 6-3
08.10.2026Facundo Diaz Acosta W7-6, 6-2
30.09.2026Novak Djokovic L6-3, 7-6
19.09.2026Diego Duran W6-2, 6-1
01.09.2026Learner Tien L6-4, 6-1, 6-2
20.08.2026Brandon Nakashima L6-3, 6-7, 6-3
18.08.2026Andrey Rublev W6-3, 6-4
16.08.2026Francisco Cerundolo W6-4, 6-4

Facundo Diaz Acosta, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Nikoloz Basilashvili L6-2, 6-4
19.10.2026Thiago Agustin Tirante W6-7, 6-1, 6-4
13.10.2026Shintaro Mochizuki L6-2, 7-6
08.10.2026Nuno Borges L7-6, 6-2
15.09.2026Daniel Elahi Galan L5-7, 6-2, 6-3
13.09.2026Dusan Lajovic W6-2, 6-1
12.09.2026Jaume Munar W4-6, 6-3, 7-6
11.09.2026Sebastian Ofner W7-5, 6-2
09.09.2026Alejandro Moro Canas W6-1, 7-5
07.9.2026Pol Martin Tiffon W6-3, 2-6, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentNuno BorgesFacundo Diaz Acosta
Learner Tien 0-2
L 6-4, 6-1, 6-2, L 7-6, 6-4, 6-2
0-1
L 7-5, 4-6, 3-6, 7-6, 6-3
Zhizhen Zhang 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 6-1, 6-4, 6-3

Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta: quick answers

Who won Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Nuno Borges beat Facundo Diaz Acosta 7-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Nuno Borges and Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Nuno Borges leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Nuno Borges 7-6, 6-2 at China Shangai - Masters.

Who is in better form, Nuno Borges or Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Nuno Borges is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Facundo Diaz Acosta is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Nuno Borges and Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Nuno Borges is rated 6922 (ATP #26) and Facundo Diaz Acosta is rated 6794 (ATP #125). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Nuno Borges vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Nuno Borges is priced at -294 and Facundo Diaz Acosta at +220, which implies a 75% and 31% chance to win. The model rates Nuno Borges 6 points higher than the odds do (80% vs 75%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.