Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov

ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), Indoors. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 03:40.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Fabian Marozsan, giving them a 85% chance to win against Timofey Skatov (15%). Fabian Marozsan leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Marozsan is 6-4 in their last 10, Skatov 4-6. At -345, the odds imply 78% for Fabian Marozsan, below the model's 85%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Fabian Marozsan a 85% favorite. At -345 the sportsbook implies 78% for Fabian Marozsan, 7 points below the model's 85%.

Model
85%
Book
78%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
15%
Book
28%

Model minus book: -13 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Fabian Marozsan at -345 · Model track record

Player comparison

Fabian MarozsanTimofey Skatov
Tennis Gauge rating68326689
Tour rankATP #97ATP #233
Last 10 matches6-44-6
Last 30 days3-21-3
Current streak2 Wins3 Losses
Season record24-2535-37
UTR15.4514.49
Elo (52 weeks)17451534
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceGrassHard

Head to head

Fabian Marozsan leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Fabian Marozsan7-5, 7-6Kazakhstan Almaty

Recent form

Fabian Marozsan, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Sebastian Sorger W3-6, 6-4, 6-4
20.10.2026Timofey Skatov W7-5, 7-6
08.10.2026Zachary Svajda L6-3, 7-6
27.09.2026Kyrian Jacquet L7-6, 6-4
25.09.2026Taro Daniel W6-7, 7-5, 7-6
24.09.2026Alex Bolt W6-4, 6-2
18.09.2026Louis Van Herck W6-4, 6-4
02.09.2026Michael Zheng L6-4, 6-4, 6-2
28.08.2026James Duckworth L6-7, 6-2, 6-4
27.08.2026Martin Damm W2-6, 6-3, 6-3

Timofey Skatov, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Stefanos Sakellaridis L6-2, 6-2
20.10.2026Fabian Marozsan L7-5, 7-6
06.10.2026Bernard Tomic L7-5, 6-4
05.10.2026Stefanos Sakellaridis W6-3, 6-2
30.09.2026Kasidit Samrej L6-2, 7-6
19.09.2026Maximus Jones W6-4, 4-6, 6-4
18.09.2026Kasidit Samrej W6-4, 7-6
08.09.2026Yanki Erel L7-6, 6-4
26.08.2026Grigor Dimitrov L7-6, 6-4
25.08.2026Gilles Arnaud Bailly W6-4, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentFabian MarozsanTimofey Skatov
Andrey Rublev 0-1
L 6-2, 6-4
0-1
L 6-1, 6-1
Gauthier Onclin 0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 2-6, 6-2, 6-3
Kyrian Jacquet 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4, 6-4
Stefanos Sakellaridis 1-0
W 7-6, 7-5
1-1
L 6-2, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-2
Taro Daniel 1-0
W 6-7, 7-5, 7-6
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3

Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov: quick answers

Who will win Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Fabian Marozsan, giving them a 85% chance to win against Timofey Skatov (15%).

What is the head-to-head record between Fabian Marozsan and Timofey Skatov?

Fabian Marozsan leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Fabian Marozsan 7-5, 7-6 at Kazakhstan Almaty.

Who is in better form, Fabian Marozsan or Timofey Skatov?

Fabian Marozsan is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Timofey Skatov is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Fabian Marozsan and Timofey Skatov?

Fabian Marozsan is rated 6832 (ATP #97) and Timofey Skatov is rated 6689 (ATP #233). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov?

Fabian Marozsan is priced at -345 and Timofey Skatov at +256, which implies a 78% and 28% chance to win. The model rates Fabian Marozsan 7 points higher than the odds do (85% vs 78%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.