Ewen Lumsden vs Luka Talan Lopatic
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ewen Lumsden, giving them a 68% chance to win against Luka Talan Lopatic (32%). Luka Talan Lopatic leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Lumsden is 6-4 in their last 10, Lopatic 7-3. At -141, the odds imply 59% for Ewen Lumsden, below the model's 68%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ewen Lumsden a 68% favorite. At -141 the sportsbook implies 59% for Ewen Lumsden, 10 points below the model's 68%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ewen Lumsden at -141 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ewen Lumsden | Luka Talan Lopatic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6338 | 6378 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1007 | ATP #865 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 34-12 | 32-23 |
| UTR | 13.45 | 13.09 |
Head to head
Luka Talan Lopatic leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Luka Talan Lopatic | 1-6, 6-2, 6-1 | Greece Heraklion |
Recent form
Ewen Lumsden, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Javier Munoz Fuster | L | 4-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Luka Talan Lopatic | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Miles Jones | W | 6-3, 2-6, 3-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Jack Loge | L | 7-5, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Andrea Colombo | W | 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Toby Martin | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Mae Malige | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Melih Anavatan | W | 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 21.09.2026 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Jaume Pla Malfeito | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
Luka Talan Lopatic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Ioannis Xilas | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Ewen Lumsden | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ammar Elamin | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Ioannis Xilas | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Amit Vales | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Nikita Bilozertsev | W | 6-3, 5-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Marcus Walters | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Marcus Walters | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Mathieu Scaglia | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Matei Florin Breazu | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Ewen Lumsden 68% at -141
- 2026-10-26: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Ewen Lumsden 68% at -141
- 2026-10-25: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Ewen Lumsden 68% at -141
- 2026-10-24: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Ewen Lumsden 68% at -141
- 2026-10-23: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Ewen Lumsden 68% at -141
- 2026-10-22: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Ewen Lumsden 68% at -141
- 2026-10-21: ATP Heraklion (XI) II (Greece), model gave Ewen Lumsden 68% at -141
Ewen Lumsden vs Luka Talan Lopatic: quick answers
Who will win Ewen Lumsden vs Luka Talan Lopatic?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ewen Lumsden, giving them a 68% chance to win against Luka Talan Lopatic (32%).
What is the head-to-head record between Ewen Lumsden and Luka Talan Lopatic?
Luka Talan Lopatic leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Luka Talan Lopatic 1-6, 6-2, 6-1 at Greece Heraklion.
Who is in better form, Ewen Lumsden or Luka Talan Lopatic?
Ewen Lumsden is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Luka Talan Lopatic is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ewen Lumsden and Luka Talan Lopatic?
Ewen Lumsden is rated 6338 (ATP #1007) and Luka Talan Lopatic is rated 6378 (ATP #865). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ewen Lumsden vs Luka Talan Lopatic?
Ewen Lumsden is priced at -141 and Luka Talan Lopatic at +144, which implies a 59% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Ewen Lumsden 10 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.