Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Max Purcell, giving them a 77% chance to win against Evan Zhu (23%). Max Purcell leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Purcell is 7-3 in their last 10, Zhu 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Max Purcell a 77% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model minus book: -4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Max Purcell at -476 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Max Purcell | Evan Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6588 | 6512 |
| Tour rank | ATP #374 | ATP #505 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 19-7 | 48-34 |
| UTR | 14.45 | 14.34 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1662 | 1162 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Max Purcell leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Max Purcell | 6-4, 6-4 | China Guangzhou |
Recent form
Max Purcell, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Keegan Smith | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Evan Zhu | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Yuta Shimizu | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Julien De Cuyper | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Taiyo Yamanaka | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Zhao Zhao | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Jumpei Yamasaki | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 12.09.2026 | Ilia Simakin | L | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 11.09.2026 | Cruz Hewitt | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
Evan Zhu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Yeonsu Jeong | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Max Purcell | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Yaojie Zeng | W | 6-1, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Koki Matsuda | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alex Bolt | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Hanyi Liu | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | W | 6-3, 4-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Zhiheng Xia | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Max Purcell | Evan Zhu |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Delaney | 1-1 W 6-3, 6-1, L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-1 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-2, L 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Yuta Shimizu | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Max Purcell 75% at -455
- 2026-10-18: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Max Purcell 75% at -455
Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu: quick answers
Who will win Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Max Purcell, giving them a 77% chance to win against Evan Zhu (23%).
What is the head-to-head record between Max Purcell and Evan Zhu?
Max Purcell leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Max Purcell 6-4, 6-4 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Max Purcell or Evan Zhu?
Max Purcell is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Evan Zhu is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Max Purcell and Evan Zhu?
Max Purcell is rated 6588 (ATP #374) and Evan Zhu is rated 6512 (ATP #505). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Max Purcell vs Evan Zhu?
Max Purcell is priced at -476 and Evan Zhu at +274, which implies a 83% and 27% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.