Eva Vedder vs Francesca Curmi
Updated
Francesca Curmi beat Eva Vedder 4-6, 7-5, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Francesca Curmi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vedder is 4-6 in their last 10, Curmi 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Francesca Curmi a 59% favorite. At +187 the sportsbook implies 35% for Eva Vedder, 6 points below the model's 41%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Eva Vedder at +187 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Eva Vedder | Francesca Curmi | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6727 | 6761 |
| Tour rank | WTA #260 | WTA #230 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 4 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 42-29 | 49-24 |
| UTR | 11.69 | 11.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1519 | 1563 |
| Best surface | Hard | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Francesca Curmi leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 | Spain Mallorca |
Recent form
Eva Vedder, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Hannah Klugman | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Jodie Burrage | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Lisa Pigato | L | 1-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Margaux Rouvroy | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Francisca Jorge | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Harmony Tan | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Caroline Uebelhoer | W | 2-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Charo Esquiva Banuls | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Jennifer Ruggeri | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-1 |
Francesca Curmi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Clara Vlasselaer | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Astrid Cirotte | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marina Bassols Ribera | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Eva Vedder | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alisa Oktiabreva | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Miriam Bianca Bulgaru | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Maayan Laron | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Eva Vedder | Francesca Curmi |
|---|---|---|
| Alena Kovackova | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Astrid Lew Yan Foon | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Cagla Buyukakcay | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Francisca Jorge | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Julie Struplova | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Katerina Tsygourova | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Martina Trevisan | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
| Nuria Brancaccio | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
| Sohyun Park | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: WTA Mallorca (Spain), model gave Eva Vedder 41% at +187
Eva Vedder vs Francesca Curmi: quick answers
Who won Eva Vedder vs Francesca Curmi?
Francesca Curmi beat Eva Vedder 4-6, 7-5, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Eva Vedder and Francesca Curmi?
Francesca Curmi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Francesca Curmi 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 at Spain Mallorca.
Who is in better form, Eva Vedder or Francesca Curmi?
Eva Vedder is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Losses). Francesca Curmi is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Eva Vedder and Francesca Curmi?
Eva Vedder is rated 6727 (WTA #260) and Francesca Curmi is rated 6761 (WTA #230). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Eva Vedder vs Francesca Curmi?
Eva Vedder is priced at +187 and Francesca Curmi at -263, which implies a 35% and 72% chance to win. The model rates Eva Vedder 6 points higher than the odds do (41% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.