Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti
Updated
Matilde Paoletti beat Eva Bennemann 7-5, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matilde Paoletti leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bennemann is 4-6 in their last 10, Paoletti 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matilde Paoletti a 56% favorite. At +110 the sportsbook implies 48% for Matilde Paoletti, 8 points below the model's 56%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matilde Paoletti at +110 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Eva Bennemann | Matilde Paoletti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6648 | 6573 |
| Tour rank | WTA #335 | WTA #436 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 37-32 | 16-12 |
| UTR | 11.22 | 11.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1459 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Matilde Paoletti leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Matilde Paoletti | 7-5, 6-2 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula |
Recent form
Eva Bennemann, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Daria Egorova | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Valeriya Yushchenko | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Lucie Nguyen Tan | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Matilde Paoletti | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Yasmin Ezzat | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 14.09.2026 | Marina Bassols Ribera | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 11.09.2026 | Alicia Herrero Linana | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.09.2026 | Cagla Buyukakcay | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Katarzyna Kawa | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 27.08.2026 | Nastasja Schunk | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Matilde Paoletti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Alessandra Mazzola | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Ginevra Parentini Vallega Montebruno | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Pieri | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jessica Pieri | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Chiara Fornasieri | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giulia Paterno | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alessandra Mazzola | L | 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Eva Bennemann | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 07.10.2026 | Francesca Gandolfi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Alisa Oktiabreva | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Eva Bennemann | Matilde Paoletti |
|---|---|---|
| Daria Yesypchuk | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti: quick answers
Who won Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti?
Matilde Paoletti beat Eva Bennemann 7-5, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Eva Bennemann and Matilde Paoletti?
Matilde Paoletti leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Matilde Paoletti 7-5, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.
Who is in better form, Eva Bennemann or Matilde Paoletti?
Eva Bennemann is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matilde Paoletti is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Eva Bennemann and Matilde Paoletti?
Eva Bennemann is rated 6648 (WTA #335) and Matilde Paoletti is rated 6573 (WTA #436). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti?
Eva Bennemann is priced at -149 and Matilde Paoletti at +110, which implies a 60% and 48% chance to win. The model rates Matilde Paoletti 8 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 48%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.