Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti

WTA Santa Margherita Di Pula (IX) II (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 7, 2026, 12:30.

Updated

Matilde Paoletti beat Eva Bennemann 7-5, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matilde Paoletti leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Bennemann is 4-6 in their last 10, Paoletti 5-5.

Result: Matilde Paoletti beat Eva Bennemann 7-5, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Matilde Paoletti a 56% favorite. At +110 the sportsbook implies 48% for Matilde Paoletti, 8 points below the model's 56%.

Model
44%
Book
60%

Model minus book: -15 pts

Model
56%
Book
48%

Model minus book: +8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matilde Paoletti at +110 · Model track record

Player comparison

Eva BennemannMatilde Paoletti
Tennis Gauge rating66486573
Tour rankWTA #335WTA #436
Last 10 matches4-65-5
Last 30 days3-25-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record37-3216-12
UTR11.2211.38
Elo (52 weeks)1459–
Best surfaceHard–
Worst surfaceClay–

Head to head

Matilde Paoletti leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
08.10.2026Matilde Paoletti7-5, 6-2Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula

Recent form

Eva Bennemann, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Daria Egorova L6-4, 7-6
27.10.2026Valeriya Yushchenko W6-4, 6-4
13.10.2026Lucie Nguyen Tan L6-4, 6-1
08.10.2026Matilde Paoletti L7-5, 6-2
06.10.2026Yasmin Ezzat W6-1, 7-5
14.09.2026Marina Bassols Ribera L6-4, 6-2
11.09.2026Alicia Herrero Linana L6-3, 6-2
10.09.2026Cagla Buyukakcay W6-4, 6-4
08.09.2026Katarzyna Kawa W6-2, 7-5
27.08.2026Nastasja Schunk L6-3, 6-4

Matilde Paoletti, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Alessandra Mazzola L7-6, 7-6
21.10.2026Ginevra Parentini Vallega Montebruno W6-2, 6-4
16.10.2026Jessica Pieri L3-6, 6-1, 6-2
16.10.2026Jessica Pieri L3-6, 6-1, 6-2
15.10.2026Chiara Fornasieri W6-2, 7-5
14.10.2026Giulia Paterno W6-0, 6-0
09.10.2026Alessandra Mazzola L6-4, 1-6, 7-6
08.10.2026Eva Bennemann W7-5, 6-2
07.10.2026Francesca Gandolfi W6-3, 6-3
18.09.2026Alisa Oktiabreva L6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentEva BennemannMatilde Paoletti
Daria Yesypchuk 1-0
W 7-5, 7-5
1-0
W 5-7, 6-3, 6-4

Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti: quick answers

Who won Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti?

Matilde Paoletti beat Eva Bennemann 7-5, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Eva Bennemann and Matilde Paoletti?

Matilde Paoletti leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Matilde Paoletti 7-5, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula.

Who is in better form, Eva Bennemann or Matilde Paoletti?

Eva Bennemann is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matilde Paoletti is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Eva Bennemann and Matilde Paoletti?

Eva Bennemann is rated 6648 (WTA #335) and Matilde Paoletti is rated 6573 (WTA #436). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Eva Bennemann vs Matilde Paoletti?

Eva Bennemann is priced at -149 and Matilde Paoletti at +110, which implies a 60% and 48% chance to win. The model rates Matilde Paoletti 8 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 48%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.