Etienne Donnet vs Matteo Martineau

ATP Roanne (France), Indoors. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 07:30.

Updated

Matteo Martineau beat Etienne Donnet 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Matteo Martineau leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Donnet is 6-4 in their last 10, Martineau 5-5.

Result: Matteo Martineau beat Etienne Donnet 5-7, 6-4, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Matteo Martineau a 70% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
30%
Book
35%

Model minus book: -5 pts

Model
70%
Book
73%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Matteo Martineau at -270 · Model track record

Player comparison

Etienne DonnetMatteo Martineau
Tennis Gauge rating63956630
Tour rankATP #801ATP #309
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days11-25-3
Current streak2 Losses3 Losses
Season record10-942-36
UTR13.7113.99
Elo (52 weeks)–1374
Best surface–Hard
Worst surface–Clay

Head to head

Matteo Martineau leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Matteo Martineau5-7, 6-4, 6-2France Roanne

Recent form

Etienne Donnet, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Alexandre Aubriot L7-6, 2-6, 7-6
15.10.2026Matteo Martineau L5-7, 6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard W7-6, 7-6
12.10.2026Patrick Brady W6-4, 7-5
11.10.2026Amir Omarkhanov W6-1, 7-5
08.10.2026Daniel Jade L6-2, 7-5
07.10.2026Amaury Raynel W4-6, 6-1, 6-4
27.09.2026Paul Colin W7-6, 4-6, 6-4
26.09.2026Samuel Vincent Ruggeri L2-6, 6-4
25.09.2026Liam Branger W5-7, 6-3, 7-6

Matteo Martineau, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Otto Virtanen L7-6, 6-4
21.10.2026Thijs Boogaard L7-6, 1-6, 6-3
18.10.2026Mika Brunold L2-6, 7-6, 6-1
17.10.2026Nicolai Budkov Kjaer W7-5, 7-6
16.10.2026Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg W6-3, 6-4
15.10.2026Etienne Donnet W5-7, 6-4, 6-2
13.10.2026Max Schoenhaus W6-2, 7-6
28.09.2026Clement Tabur L7-6, 6-7, 6-3
24.09.2026Daniel Masur L6-3, 5-7, 6-3
22.09.2026Tristan Schoolkate W7-6, 6-7, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentEtienne DonnetMatteo Martineau
Liam Branger 1-0
W 5-7, 6-3, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Roanne (France), model gave Etienne Donnet 30% at +186

Etienne Donnet vs Matteo Martineau: quick answers

Who won Etienne Donnet vs Matteo Martineau?

Matteo Martineau beat Etienne Donnet 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Etienne Donnet and Matteo Martineau?

Matteo Martineau leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Matteo Martineau 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 at France Roanne.

Who is in better form, Etienne Donnet or Matteo Martineau?

Etienne Donnet is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Matteo Martineau is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Etienne Donnet and Matteo Martineau?

Etienne Donnet is rated 6395 (ATP #801) and Matteo Martineau is rated 6630 (ATP #309). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Etienne Donnet vs Matteo Martineau?

Etienne Donnet is priced at +186 and Matteo Martineau at -270, which implies a 35% and 73% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.