Esther Adeshina vs Manon Leonard

WTA Kingdom Birmingham (XI) (United Kingdom), Indoors. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Manon Leonard beat Esther Adeshina 6-1, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Manon Leonard leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Adeshina is 6-4 in their last 10, Leonard 7-3.

Result: Manon Leonard beat Esther Adeshina 6-1, 6-4. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Manon Leonard a 71% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
29%
Book
31%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model
71%
Book
79%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Manon Leonard at -370 · Model track record

Player comparison

Esther AdeshinaManon Leonard
Tennis Gauge rating64096724
Tour rankWTA #715WTA #262
Last 10 matches6-47-3
Last 30 days5-26-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record38-2730-31
UTR10.7711.16
Elo (52 weeks)13531335
Best surfaceGrassHard
Worst surfaceHardClay

Head to head

Manon Leonard leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Manon Leonard6-1, 6-4United Kingdom Birmingham

Recent form

Esther Adeshina, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Valentini Grammatikopoulou L6-1, 7-6
28.10.2026Azzurra Cremonini W6-1, 6-3
23.10.2026Weronika Falkowska L6-4, 6-2
22.10.2026Laia Petretic W3-1
20.10.2026Garbiela Agra Amorim W6-0, 6-3
14.10.2026Manon Leonard L6-1, 6-4
13.10.2026Lara Savic W6-2, 6-0
02.10.2026Antonina Sushkova L6-3, 7-5
01.10.2026Hania Abouelsaad W6-2, 1-6, 6-4
30.09.2026Joody Elkady W6-4, 6-0

Manon Leonard, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Veronika Podrez L6-2, 6-3
28.10.2026Amandine Hesse W6-2, 6-2
24.10.2026Katarina Zavatska L3-6, 6-3, 6-2
23.10.2026Jessika Ponchet W7-6, 6-1
22.10.2026Sada Nahimana W6-4, 6-1
21.10.2026Salma Djoubri W6-2, 6-4
17.10.2026Alicia Dudeney L6-4, 6-3
16.10.2026Jessika Ponchet W5-7, 7-6, 6-2
16.10.2026Jessika Ponchet W5-7, 7-6, 6-2
15.10.2026Jodie Burrage W6-3, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentEsther AdeshinaManon Leonard
Alicia Dudeney 0-2
L 6-0, 6-2, L 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Jodie Burrage 0-2
L 6-4, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: WTA Kingdom Birmingham (XI) (United Kingdom), model gave Esther Adeshina 29% at +227

Esther Adeshina vs Manon Leonard: quick answers

Who won Esther Adeshina vs Manon Leonard?

Manon Leonard beat Esther Adeshina 6-1, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Esther Adeshina and Manon Leonard?

Manon Leonard leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Manon Leonard 6-1, 6-4 at United Kingdom Birmingham.

Who is in better form, Esther Adeshina or Manon Leonard?

Esther Adeshina is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Manon Leonard is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Esther Adeshina and Manon Leonard?

Esther Adeshina is rated 6409 (WTA #715) and Manon Leonard is rated 6724 (WTA #262). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Esther Adeshina vs Manon Leonard?

Esther Adeshina is priced at +227 and Manon Leonard at -370, which implies a 31% and 79% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.