Mariia Masiianskaia vs Estella Jaeger
Updated
Estella Jaeger beat Mariia Masiianskaia 6-4, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mariia Masiianskaia at 76%. Estella Jaeger leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Masiianskaia is 2-8 in their last 10, Jaeger 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mariia Masiianskaia a 76% favorite. At -154 the sportsbook implies 61% for Mariia Masiianskaia, 15 points below the model's 76%.
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model minus book: -24 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mariia Masiianskaia at -154 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mariia Masiianskaia | Estella Jaeger | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6243 | 6114 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1172 | WTA #1627 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Current streak | 7 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 28-35 | 26-20 |
| UTR | 10.16 | 9.49 |
Head to head
Estella Jaeger leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Estella Jaeger | 6-4, 6-2 | Croatia Bol |
Recent form
Mariia Masiianskaia, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Anna Petkovic | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Estella Jaeger | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Irem Kurt | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Matilde Mariani | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Yasmine Mansouri | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 31.08.2026 | Valeria Garnevska | L | 6-1, 2-6, 12-10 |
| 30.08.2026 | Sofija Milenkovic | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.08.2026 | Xinran Sun | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 23.08.2026 | Ulyana Hrabavets | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
Estella Jaeger, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Mariia Drobysheva | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Georgiana Prodan | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Stella Knez | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Tara Wurth | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Mariia Masiianskaia | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Vanesa Mrazova | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Ana Maria Popa Lazar | W | 4-6, 6-4, 10-4 |
| 21.09.2026 | Anisia Ghica | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mariia Masiianskaia | Estella Jaeger |
|---|---|---|
| Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
| Mia Horvit | 0-2 L 4-6, 6-0, 6-3, L 3-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Bol (X) (Croatia), model gave Mariia Masiianskaia 76% at -154
Mariia Masiianskaia vs Estella Jaeger: quick answers
Who won Mariia Masiianskaia vs Estella Jaeger?
Estella Jaeger beat Mariia Masiianskaia 6-4, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Mariia Masiianskaia at 76%.
What is the head-to-head record between Mariia Masiianskaia and Estella Jaeger?
Estella Jaeger leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Estella Jaeger 6-4, 6-2 at Croatia Bol.
Who is in better form, Mariia Masiianskaia or Estella Jaeger?
Mariia Masiianskaia is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 7 Losses). Estella Jaeger is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mariia Masiianskaia and Estella Jaeger?
Mariia Masiianskaia is rated 6243 (WTA #1172) and Estella Jaeger is rated 6114 (WTA #1627). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mariia Masiianskaia vs Estella Jaeger?
Mariia Masiianskaia is priced at -154 and Estella Jaeger at +106, which implies a 61% and 49% chance to win. The model rates Mariia Masiianskaia 15 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 61%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.