Mio Mushika vs Erika Sema
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Erika Sema, giving them a 65% chance to win against Mio Mushika (35%). Mio Mushika leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mushika is 6-4 in their last 10, Sema 5-5. At +118, the odds imply 46% for Erika Sema, below the model's 65%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Erika Sema a 65% favorite. At +118 the sportsbook implies 46% for Erika Sema, 19 points below the model's 65%.
Model minus book: -28 pts
Model minus book: +19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Erika Sema at +118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mio Mushika | Erika Sema | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6415 | 6438 |
| Tour rank | WTA #699 | WTA #654 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 1-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 31-32 | 26-28 |
| UTR | 10.64 | 10.77 |
Head to head
Mio Mushika leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Mio Mushika | 6-1, 6-2 | Australia Sydney |
Recent form
Mio Mushika, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Monique Barry | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Hikaru Sato | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Erika Sema | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Yuhan Liu | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Himari Sato | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 07.10.2026 | Remika Ohashi | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Naho Sato | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Mutsumi Uemura | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Yuno Kitahara | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Laquisa Khan | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
Erika Sema, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Eva Lopez | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Miho Kuramochi | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Mio Mushika | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Jizelle Sibai | W | 6-1, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 06.09.2026 | Vaishnavi Adkar | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 30.08.2026 | Jia Jing Lu | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 06.08.2026 | Eunhye Lee | L | 6-2, 1-6, 6-0 |
| 04.08.2026 | Maria Fernanda Navarro Oliva | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 30.07.2026 | Sara Saito | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 29.07.2026 | Mckenna Schaefbauer | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mio Mushika | Erika Sema |
|---|---|---|
| Amy Stevens | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Cadence Brace | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 1-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Hikaru Sato | 0-3 L 6-2, 6-1, L 6-4, 6-1, L 1-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-2 L 7-6, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Jana Kolodynska | 0-1 L 0-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-3 |
| Kisa Yoshioka | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Laquisa Khan | 1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
| Monique Barry | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Mutsumi Uemura | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 10-8 |
| Yuno Kitahara | 1-1 W 7-5, 6-1, L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Mio Mushika 35% at -172
- 2026-10-26: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Mio Mushika 35% at -172
- 2026-10-25: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Mio Mushika 35% at -172
- 2026-10-24: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Mio Mushika 35% at -172
- 2026-10-23: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Mio Mushika 35% at -172
- 2026-10-22: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Mio Mushika 35% at -172
- 2026-10-21: WTA Sydney (XI) (Australia), model gave Mio Mushika 35% at -172
Mio Mushika vs Erika Sema: quick answers
Who will win Mio Mushika vs Erika Sema?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Erika Sema, giving them a 65% chance to win against Mio Mushika (35%).
What is the head-to-head record between Mio Mushika and Erika Sema?
Mio Mushika leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Mio Mushika 6-1, 6-2 at Australia Sydney.
Who is in better form, Mio Mushika or Erika Sema?
Mio Mushika is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Erika Sema is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mio Mushika and Erika Sema?
Mio Mushika is rated 6415 (WTA #699) and Erika Sema is rated 6438 (WTA #654). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mio Mushika vs Erika Sema?
Mio Mushika is priced at -172 and Erika Sema at +118, which implies a 63% and 46% chance to win. The model rates Erika Sema 19 points higher than the odds do (65% vs 46%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.