Erik Arutiunian vs Spencer Johnson
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Spencer Johnson, giving them a 79% chance to win against Erik Arutiunian (21%). Erik Arutiunian leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Arutiunian is 6-4 in their last 10, Johnson 4-6. At -263, the odds imply 72% for Spencer Johnson, below the model's 79%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Spencer Johnson a 79% favorite. At -263 the sportsbook implies 72% for Spencer Johnson, 6 points below the model's 79%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Spencer Johnson at -263 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Erik Arutiunian | Spencer Johnson | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6466 | 6527 |
| Tour rank | ATP #601 | ATP #478 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 39-18 | 48-19 |
| UTR | 14.0 | 14.49 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1461 |
| Best surface | – | Hard |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Erik Arutiunian leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | 7-5, 1-6, 7-5 | USA Fort Worth |
| 14.09.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | 7-6, 7-6 | USA Tiburon |
Recent form
Erik Arutiunian, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Tomasz Berkieta | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Gabriel Debru | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Andres Martin | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aidan Mchugh | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 7-5, 1-6, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Darian King | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Trevor Svajda | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Andrew Fenty | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Luca Staeheli | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Spencer Johnson, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Tomasz Berkieta | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 25.10.2026 | Jonah Braswell | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 7-5, 1-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | L | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Tristan Boyer | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Jakub Vrba | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Jan Kobierski | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 13.09.2026 | Vignesh Gogineni | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 24.08.2026 | Cristian Garin | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Erik Arutiunian | Spencer Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Andres Martin | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Jakub Vrba | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Tomasz Berkieta | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 21% at +183
- 2026-10-18: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 21% at +183
Erik Arutiunian vs Spencer Johnson: quick answers
Who will win Erik Arutiunian vs Spencer Johnson?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Spencer Johnson, giving them a 79% chance to win against Erik Arutiunian (21%).
What is the head-to-head record between Erik Arutiunian and Spencer Johnson?
Erik Arutiunian leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Erik Arutiunian 7-5, 1-6, 7-5 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Erik Arutiunian or Spencer Johnson?
Erik Arutiunian is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Spencer Johnson is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Erik Arutiunian and Spencer Johnson?
Erik Arutiunian is rated 6466 (ATP #601) and Spencer Johnson is rated 6527 (ATP #478). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Erik Arutiunian vs Spencer Johnson?
Erik Arutiunian is priced at +183 and Spencer Johnson at -263, which implies a 35% and 72% chance to win. The model rates Spencer Johnson 6 points higher than the odds do (79% vs 72%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.