Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, giving them a 75% chance to win against Erik Arutiunian (25%). Erik Arutiunian leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Arutiunian is 6-4 in their last 10, Marcondes 5-5. At -250, the odds imply 71% for Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, below the model's 75%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Igor Ribeiro Marcondes a 75% favorite. At -250 the sportsbook implies 71% for Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, 4 points below the model's 75%.
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Igor Ribeiro Marcondes at -250 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Erik Arutiunian | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6466 | 6606 |
| Tour rank | ATP #601 | ATP #346 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 39-18 | 32-20 |
| UTR | 14.0 | 14.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1503 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Grass |
Head to head
Erik Arutiunian leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | 7-6, 7-5 | USA Fort Worth |
Recent form
Erik Arutiunian, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Tomasz Berkieta | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Gabriel Debru | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Andres Martin | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Aidan Mchugh | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 7-5, 1-6, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Darian King | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Trevor Svajda | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.09.2026 | Andrew Fenty | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Luca Staeheli | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Erik Arutiunian | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | W | 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Andrew Fenty | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 27.09.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Timo Legout | W | 6-7, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Federico Agustin Gomez | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 23.09.2026 | Patrick Maloney | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Ozan Baris | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Nishesh Basavareddy | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.08.2026 | Max Purcell | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Erik Arutiunian | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Fenty | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Luca Staeheli | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 25% at +180
- 2026-10-26: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 25% at +180
- 2026-10-25: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 25% at +180
- 2026-10-24: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 25% at +180
- 2026-10-23: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 25% at +180
- 2026-10-22: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 25% at +180
- 2026-10-21: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Erik Arutiunian 25% at +180
Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes: quick answers
Who will win Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Igor Ribeiro Marcondes, giving them a 75% chance to win against Erik Arutiunian (25%).
What is the head-to-head record between Erik Arutiunian and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Erik Arutiunian leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Erik Arutiunian 7-6, 7-5 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Erik Arutiunian or Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Erik Arutiunian is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Erik Arutiunian and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Erik Arutiunian is rated 6466 (ATP #601) and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes is rated 6606 (ATP #346). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Erik Arutiunian vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes?
Erik Arutiunian is priced at +180 and Igor Ribeiro Marcondes at -250, which implies a 36% and 71% chance to win. The model rates Igor Ribeiro Marcondes 4 points higher than the odds do (75% vs 71%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.