Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Eric Vanshelboim
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Luis Carlos Alvarez, giving them a 70% chance to win against Eric Vanshelboim (30%). Luis Carlos Alvarez leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Alvarez is 4-6 in their last 10, Vanshelboim 6-4. At +115, the odds imply 47% for Luis Carlos Alvarez, below the model's 70%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Luis Carlos Alvarez a 70% favorite. At +115 the sportsbook implies 47% for Luis Carlos Alvarez, 23 points below the model's 70%.
Model minus book: +23 pts
Model minus book: -32 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luis Carlos Alvarez at +115 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luis Carlos Alvarez | Eric Vanshelboim | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6482 | 6461 |
| Tour rank | ATP #555 | ATP #617 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 20-10 | 47-27 |
| UTR | 14.01 | 13.84 |
Head to head
Luis Carlos Alvarez leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Luis Carlos Alvarez | 6-4, 7-5 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X |
Recent form
Luis Carlos Alvarez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Adrian Oetzbach | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Andrea De Marchi | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Gabriele Bosio | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Eric Vanshelboim | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Eero Vasa | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 18.08.2026 | Rio Noguchi | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 16.08.2026 | Karl Poling | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.08.2026 | Max Sheldon | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Eric Vanshelboim, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Luis Carlos Alvarez | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Giuseppe La Vela | L | 6-1, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Daniel Michalski | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Gianmarco Ferrari | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Pietro Marino | W | 1-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 21.09.2026 | Valerio Bracci | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Max Hans Rehberg | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Sebastiano Cocola | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 16.09.2026 | Tymur Bieldiugin | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 15.09.2026 | Samuele Seghetti | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Luis Carlos Alvarez 70% at +115
- 2026-10-18: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), model gave Luis Carlos Alvarez 70% at +115
Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Eric Vanshelboim: quick answers
Who will win Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Eric Vanshelboim?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Luis Carlos Alvarez, giving them a 70% chance to win against Eric Vanshelboim (30%).
What is the head-to-head record between Luis Carlos Alvarez and Eric Vanshelboim?
Luis Carlos Alvarez leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Luis Carlos Alvarez 6-4, 7-5 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.
Who is in better form, Luis Carlos Alvarez or Eric Vanshelboim?
Luis Carlos Alvarez is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Eric Vanshelboim is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luis Carlos Alvarez and Eric Vanshelboim?
Luis Carlos Alvarez is rated 6482 (ATP #555) and Eric Vanshelboim is rated 6461 (ATP #617). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Eric Vanshelboim?
Luis Carlos Alvarez is priced at +115 and Eric Vanshelboim at -167, which implies a 47% and 63% chance to win. The model rates Luis Carlos Alvarez 23 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 47%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.