Mingge Xu vs Emma Dong
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mingge Xu, giving them a 53% chance to win against Emma Dong (47%). Mingge Xu leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Xu is 6-4 in their last 10, Dong 5-5. At +200, the odds imply 33% for Emma Dong, below the model's 47%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mingge Xu a 53% favorite. At +200 the sportsbook implies 33% for Emma Dong, 14 points below the model's 47%.
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Emma Dong at +200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mingge Xu | Emma Dong | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6623 | 6460 |
| Tour rank | WTA #365 | WTA #619 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 7-2 |
| Current streak | 5 Wins | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 15-21 | 38-10 |
| UTR | 11.2 | 11.05 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1358 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Grass | – |
Head to head
Mingge Xu leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Mingge Xu | 2-3 | Canada Saguenay |
Recent form
Mingge Xu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Emma Dong | W | 2-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Cadence Brace | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Michaela Bayerlova | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Aspen Schuman | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 29.09.2026 | Madison Brengle | L | 2-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 12.09.2026 | Caroline Dolehide | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 13.08.2026 | Susan Bandecchi | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 12.08.2026 | Edie Griffiths | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Emma Dong, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Hiromi Abe | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Ayana Akli | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Mingge Xu | L | 2-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Patricija Paukstyte | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Marta Mariia Makarova | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Brooke Black | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Paulina Montiel | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Manon Rosa Dubreuil | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Tatum Evans | L | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Luciana Perry | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mingge Xu | Emma Dong |
|---|---|---|
| Ariana Arseneault | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
Mingge Xu vs Emma Dong: quick answers
Who will win Mingge Xu vs Emma Dong?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Mingge Xu, giving them a 53% chance to win against Emma Dong (47%).
What is the head-to-head record between Mingge Xu and Emma Dong?
Mingge Xu leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Mingge Xu 2-3 at Canada Saguenay.
Who is in better form, Mingge Xu or Emma Dong?
Mingge Xu is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Emma Dong is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mingge Xu and Emma Dong?
Mingge Xu is rated 6623 (WTA #365) and Emma Dong is rated 6460 (WTA #619). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mingge Xu vs Emma Dong?
Mingge Xu is priced at -333 and Emma Dong at +200, which implies a 77% and 33% chance to win. The model rates Emma Dong 14 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 33%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.