Emilio Camacho vs Matteo Covato
Updated
Matteo Covato beat Emilio Camacho 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Emilio Camacho at 57%. Matteo Covato leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Camacho is 6-4 in their last 10, Covato 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Emilio Camacho a 57% favorite. At -118 the sportsbook implies 54% for Emilio Camacho, 3 points below the model's 57%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Emilio Camacho at -118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Emilio Camacho | Matteo Covato | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6168 | 6206 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1768 | ATP #1567 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 7-8 | 17-34 |
| UTR | 13.03 | 12.29 |
Head to head
Matteo Covato leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Matteo Covato | 6-4, 6-3 | Ecuador Quito |
Recent form
Emilio Camacho, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Angel Veliz | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Matteo Covato | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Rowan Qalbani | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 08.09.2026 | Dimitar Kisimov | L | 2-6, 6-4, 5-7 |
| 06.09.2026 | Matteo Gribaldo | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 08.08.2026 | Joshua Adamson | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.07.2026 | Mateo Fluri | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 23.07.2026 | Eric Dylan Mueller | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 22.07.2026 | Michal Pielat | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
| 06.07.2026 | Mathys Domenc | L | 1-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
Matteo Covato, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Maxwell Benson | L | 6-7, 7-6, 0-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ivan Dreycopp | L | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Emilio Camacho | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lucas Andrade Da Silva | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Felipe De Dios | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mwendwa Mbithi | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Dakotah Bobo | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Stefan Seifert | L | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 22.09.2026 | Victor Barrere | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Quito (X) (Ecuador), model gave Emilio Camacho 57% at -118
Emilio Camacho vs Matteo Covato: quick answers
Who won Emilio Camacho vs Matteo Covato?
Matteo Covato beat Emilio Camacho 6-4, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Emilio Camacho at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Emilio Camacho and Matteo Covato?
Matteo Covato leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Matteo Covato 6-4, 6-3 at Ecuador Quito.
Who is in better form, Emilio Camacho or Matteo Covato?
Emilio Camacho is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Matteo Covato is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Emilio Camacho and Matteo Covato?
Emilio Camacho is rated 6168 (ATP #1768) and Matteo Covato is rated 6206 (ATP #1567). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Emilio Camacho vs Matteo Covato?
Emilio Camacho is priced at -118 and Matteo Covato at -118, which implies a 54% and 54% chance to win. The model rates Emilio Camacho 3 points higher than the odds do (57% vs 54%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.