Heather Watson vs Emerson Jones
Updated
Emerson Jones beat Heather Watson 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Heather Watson at 52%. Emerson Jones leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Watson is 4-6 in their last 10, Jones 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Heather Watson a 52% favorite. At +249 the sportsbook implies 29% for Heather Watson, 23 points below the model's 52%.
Model minus book: +23 pts
Model minus book: -28 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Heather Watson at +249 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Heather Watson | Emerson Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6864 | 6826 |
| Tour rank | WTA #143 | WTA #178 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 16-14 | 41-25 |
| UTR | 11.81 | 11.77 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1601 | 1571 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Emerson Jones leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Emerson Jones | 6-3, 6-3 | Japan Osaka |
Recent form
Heather Watson, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Alycia Parks | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | W | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 17.10.2026 | Emerson Jones | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 28.08.2026 | Harriet Dart | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 26.08.2026 | Angela Fita Boluda | W | 6-4, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 24.08.2026 | Claire Liu | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.08.2026 | Anna Blinkova | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 26.07.2026 | Julieta Pareja | L | 6-4, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 25.07.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 25.06.2026 | Maria Timofeeva | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
Emerson Jones, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Dayana Yastremska | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Hong Yi Cody Wong | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ann Li | L | 5-7, 6-0, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Taylah Preston | W | 6-0 |
| 17.10.2026 | Heather Watson | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Zhuoxuan Bai | L | 1-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Mai Hontama | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Alexandra Shubladze | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Kyoka Okamura | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 30.09.2026 | Chenting Zhu | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Heather Watson | Emerson Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Kyoka Okamura | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 1-0 W 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-2, L 7-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), model gave Heather Watson 52% at +249
Heather Watson vs Emerson Jones: quick answers
Who won Heather Watson vs Emerson Jones?
Emerson Jones beat Heather Watson 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Heather Watson at 52%.
What is the head-to-head record between Heather Watson and Emerson Jones?
Emerson Jones leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Emerson Jones 6-3, 6-3 at Japan Osaka.
Who is in better form, Heather Watson or Emerson Jones?
Heather Watson is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Emerson Jones is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Heather Watson and Emerson Jones?
Heather Watson is rated 6864 (WTA #143) and Emerson Jones is rated 6826 (WTA #178). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Heather Watson vs Emerson Jones?
Heather Watson is priced at +249 and Emerson Jones at -323, which implies a 29% and 76% chance to win. The model rates Heather Watson 23 points higher than the odds do (52% vs 29%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.