Elmer Moller vs Tristan Boyer

ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 07:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Tristan Boyer, giving them a 62% chance to win against Elmer Moller (38%). Elmer Moller leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Moller is 7-3 in their last 10, Boyer 5-5. At -125, the odds imply 56% for Tristan Boyer, below the model's 62%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Tristan Boyer a 62% favorite. At -125 the sportsbook implies 56% for Tristan Boyer, 6 points below the model's 62%.

Model
38%
Book
53%

Model minus book: -14 pts

Model
62%
Book
56%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tristan Boyer at -125 · Model track record

Player comparison

Elmer MollerTristan Boyer
Tennis Gauge rating67306722
Tour rankATP #174ATP #187
Last 10 matches7-35-5
Last 30 days5-34-4
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record36-2826-24
UTR14.2914.6
Elo (52 weeks)15421595
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Elmer Moller leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026Elmer Moller7-5, 6-2Portugal Lisbon

Recent form

Elmer Moller, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Svyatoslav Gulin L4-6, 7-5, 7-5
23.10.2026Henrique Rocha W6-2, 6-4
21.10.2026Max Alcala Gurri W6-4, 2-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Tristan Boyer W7-5, 6-2
14.10.2026Lukas Neumayer L6-4, 4-6, 6-2
11.10.2026Matej Dodig L3-6, 6-3, 6-2
10.10.2026Vilius Gaubas W6-2, 4-6, 6-4
09.10.2026Tiago Pereira W5-7, 6-2, 6-1
08.10.2026Zsombor Piros W1-6, 6-1, 7-5
05.10.2026Thiago Monteiro W7-6, 5-7, 6-4

Tristan Boyer, last 10

DateOpponentScore
19.10.2026Elmer Moller L7-5, 6-2
16.10.2026Matej Dodig L6-4, 7-6
15.10.2026Vilius Gaubas W6-3, 4-6, 6-4
13.10.2026Alejandro Moro Canas W6-4, 6-2
05.10.2026Zsombor Piros L6-2, 5-7, 6-4
25.09.2026Timo Legout L2-6, 7-5, 7-5
24.09.2026Sebastian Gorzny W6-4, 7-6
22.09.2026Spencer Johnson W7-6, 6-1
16.09.2026Abedallah Shelbayh L7-6, 6-1
15.09.2026Edward Winter W6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentElmer MollerTristan Boyer
Francesco Passaro 0-1
L 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 6-7, 6-4, 6-2
Francisco Cerundolo 0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
0-1
L 6-7, 4-3
Gabriel Diallo 1-0
W 7-5, 3-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
Lukas Neumayer 1-1
L 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, W 6-7, 6-4, 1-0
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
Matej Dodig 1-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-6
0-1
L 6-4, 7-6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
1-0
W 7-5, 6-7, 7-6, 6-3
Vilius Gaubas 1-0
W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 4-6, 6-4
Zsombor Piros 1-1
W 1-6, 6-1, 7-5, L 6-2, 3-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-2, 5-7, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Tristan Boyer 65% at -119
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Tristan Boyer 65% at -119

Elmer Moller vs Tristan Boyer: quick answers

Who will win Elmer Moller vs Tristan Boyer?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Tristan Boyer, giving them a 62% chance to win against Elmer Moller (38%).

What is the head-to-head record between Elmer Moller and Tristan Boyer?

Elmer Moller leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Elmer Moller 7-5, 6-2 at Portugal Lisbon.

Who is in better form, Elmer Moller or Tristan Boyer?

Elmer Moller is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tristan Boyer is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Elmer Moller and Tristan Boyer?

Elmer Moller is rated 6730 (ATP #174) and Tristan Boyer is rated 6722 (ATP #187). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Tristan Boyer?

Elmer Moller is priced at -111 and Tristan Boyer at -125, which implies a 53% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Tristan Boyer 6 points higher than the odds do (62% vs 56%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.