Elmer Moller vs Tristan Boyer
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tristan Boyer, giving them a 62% chance to win against Elmer Moller (38%). Elmer Moller leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Moller is 7-3 in their last 10, Boyer 5-5. At -125, the odds imply 56% for Tristan Boyer, below the model's 62%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tristan Boyer a 62% favorite. At -125 the sportsbook implies 56% for Tristan Boyer, 6 points below the model's 62%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tristan Boyer at -125 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Elmer Moller | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6730 | 6722 |
| Tour rank | ATP #174 | ATP #187 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 4-4 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 36-28 | 26-24 |
| UTR | 14.29 | 14.6 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1542 | 1595 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Elmer Moller leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | 7-5, 6-2 | Portugal Lisbon |
Recent form
Elmer Moller, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | L | 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Henrique Rocha | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Max Alcala Gurri | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Vilius Gaubas | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Tiago Pereira | W | 5-7, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | W | 1-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | W | 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
Tristan Boyer, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Vilius Gaubas | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | L | 6-2, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 25.09.2026 | Timo Legout | L | 2-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 24.09.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 16.09.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Edward Winter | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Elmer Moller | Tristan Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Passaro | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-7, 4-3 |
| Gabriel Diallo | 1-0 W 7-5, 3-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Lukas Neumayer | 1-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, W 6-7, 6-4, 1-0 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Matej Dodig | 1-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Vilius Gaubas | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Zsombor Piros | 1-1 W 1-6, 6-1, 7-5, L 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 5-7, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Tristan Boyer 65% at -119
- 2026-10-18: ATP Lisbon (VI) (Portugal), model gave Tristan Boyer 65% at -119
Elmer Moller vs Tristan Boyer: quick answers
Who will win Elmer Moller vs Tristan Boyer?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tristan Boyer, giving them a 62% chance to win against Elmer Moller (38%).
What is the head-to-head record between Elmer Moller and Tristan Boyer?
Elmer Moller leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Elmer Moller 7-5, 6-2 at Portugal Lisbon.
Who is in better form, Elmer Moller or Tristan Boyer?
Elmer Moller is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tristan Boyer is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Elmer Moller and Tristan Boyer?
Elmer Moller is rated 6730 (ATP #174) and Tristan Boyer is rated 6722 (ATP #187). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Tristan Boyer?
Elmer Moller is priced at -111 and Tristan Boyer at -125, which implies a 53% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Tristan Boyer 6 points higher than the odds do (62% vs 56%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.