Elmer Moller vs Tiago Pereira

ATP Braga (Portugal), Clay. Thursday, October 8, 2026, 06:00.

Updated

Elmer Moller beat Tiago Pereira 5-7, 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Elmer Moller leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Moller is 7-3 in their last 10, Pereira 4-6.

Result: Elmer Moller beat Tiago Pereira 5-7, 6-2, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Elmer Moller a 78% favorite. At -256 the sportsbook implies 72% for Elmer Moller, 7 points below the model's 78%.

Model
78%
Book
72%

Model minus book: +7 pts

Model
22%
Book
35%

Model minus book: -14 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elmer Moller at -256 · Model track record

Player comparison

Elmer MollerTiago Pereira
Tennis Gauge rating67306583
Tour rankATP #174ATP #381
Last 10 matches7-34-6
Last 30 days3-24-4
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record36-2840-40
UTR14.2913.97
Elo (52 weeks)15081315
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Elmer Moller leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Elmer Moller5-7, 6-2, 6-1Portugal Braga
17.11.2025Elmer Moller5-7, 6-3, 6-2Spain Montemar

Recent form

Elmer Moller, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Svyatoslav Gulin L4-6, 7-5, 7-5
23.10.2026Henrique Rocha W6-2, 6-4
21.10.2026Max Alcala Gurri W6-4, 2-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Tristan Boyer W7-5, 6-2
14.10.2026Lukas Neumayer L6-4, 4-6, 6-2
11.10.2026Matej Dodig L3-6, 6-3, 6-2
10.10.2026Vilius Gaubas W6-2, 4-6, 6-4
09.10.2026Tiago Pereira W5-7, 6-2, 6-1
08.10.2026Zsombor Piros W1-6, 6-1, 7-5
05.10.2026Thiago Monteiro W7-6, 5-7, 6-4

Tiago Pereira, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Marco Trungelliti L7-6, 4-6, 6-1
13.10.2026Luka Mikrut L6-0, 6-3
09.10.2026Elmer Moller L5-7, 6-2, 6-1
08.10.2026Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo W7-5, 6-3
07.10.2026Pol Martin Tiffon W6-3, 6-4
01.10.2026Hugo Grenier L7-6, 6-3
30.09.2026Otto Virtanen W6-4, 2-6, 6-3
20.09.2026Pavlos Tsitsipas L6-7, 7-5, 7-6
15.09.2026Filip Pieczonka L5-7, 6-4, 7-5
14.09.2026Rudolf Molleker W2-6, 6-4, 7-6

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentElmer MollerTiago Pereira
Andrej Martin 1-0
W 6-4, 6-1
0-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 6-4
Andres Andrade 1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Carlos Lopez Montagud 1-0
W 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Jaime Faria 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
0-1
L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
Nerman Fatic 1-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 6-1
0-1
L 7-5, 6-2
Pablo Llamas Ruiz 1-0
W 7-6, 6-3
0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
Rudolf Molleker 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
2-0
W 2-6, 6-4, 7-6, W 4-6, 6-2, 6-0

Elmer Moller vs Tiago Pereira: quick answers

Who won Elmer Moller vs Tiago Pereira?

Elmer Moller beat Tiago Pereira 5-7, 6-2, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Elmer Moller and Tiago Pereira?

Elmer Moller leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Elmer Moller 5-7, 6-2, 6-1 at Portugal Braga.

Who is in better form, Elmer Moller or Tiago Pereira?

Elmer Moller is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Tiago Pereira is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Elmer Moller and Tiago Pereira?

Elmer Moller is rated 6730 (ATP #174) and Tiago Pereira is rated 6583 (ATP #381). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Tiago Pereira?

Elmer Moller is priced at -256 and Tiago Pereira at +182, which implies a 72% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Elmer Moller 7 points higher than the odds do (78% vs 72%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.