Elmer Moller vs Matej Dodig
Updated
Matej Dodig beat Elmer Moller 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Moller is 7-3 in their last 10, Dodig 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Matej Dodig a 58% favorite. At +187 the sportsbook implies 35% for Elmer Moller, 8 points below the model's 42%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elmer Moller at +187 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Elmer Moller | Matej Dodig | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6730 | 6762 |
| Tour rank | ATP #174 | ATP #145 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 36-28 | 43-24 |
| UTR | 14.29 | 14.51 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1508 | 1617 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 | Portugal Braga |
| 06.02.2026 | Elmer Moller | 6-4, 7-6 | Davis Cup S |
Recent form
Elmer Moller, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | L | 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Henrique Rocha | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Max Alcala Gurri | W | 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | L | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Matej Dodig | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Vilius Gaubas | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Tiago Pereira | W | 5-7, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Zsombor Piros | W | 1-6, 6-1, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Thiago Monteiro | W | 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
Matej Dodig, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Marco Trungelliti | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Marco Cecchinato | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Joao Domingues | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Francesco Passaro | L | 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Tristan Boyer | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Pedro Martinez | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Elmer Moller | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Marvin Moeller | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Elmer Moller | Matej Dodig |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Passaro | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 5-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| Lukas Neumayer | 1-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, W 6-7, 6-4, 1-0 |
2-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Raul Brancaccio | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Rudolf Molleker | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Tristan Boyer | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
Elmer Moller vs Matej Dodig: quick answers
Who won Elmer Moller vs Matej Dodig?
Matej Dodig beat Elmer Moller 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Elmer Moller and Matej Dodig?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Matej Dodig 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 at Portugal Braga.
Who is in better form, Elmer Moller or Matej Dodig?
Elmer Moller is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matej Dodig is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Elmer Moller and Matej Dodig?
Elmer Moller is rated 6730 (ATP #174) and Matej Dodig is rated 6762 (ATP #145). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Matej Dodig?
Elmer Moller is priced at +187 and Matej Dodig at -244, which implies a 35% and 71% chance to win. The model rates Elmer Moller 8 points higher than the odds do (42% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.