Elmer Moller vs Lukas Neumayer

ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), Indoors. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 03:00.

Updated

Lukas Neumayer beat Elmer Moller 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Moller is 7-3 in their last 10, Neumayer 6-4.

Result: Lukas Neumayer beat Elmer Moller 6-4, 4-6, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Lukas Neumayer a 53% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
47%
Book
49%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model
53%
Book
59%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lukas Neumayer at -145 · Model track record

Player comparison

Elmer MollerLukas Neumayer
Tennis Gauge rating67306746
Tour rankATP #174ATP #158
Last 10 matches7-36-4
Last 30 days5-35-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record36-2848-31
UTR14.2914.62
Elo (52 weeks)14971544
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardGrass

Head to head

Tied 1-1.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Lukas Neumayer6-4, 4-6, 6-2Portugal Maia
02.08.2026Elmer Moller6-7, 6-4, 1-0Germany German Bundesliga

Recent form

Elmer Moller, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Svyatoslav Gulin L4-6, 7-5, 7-5
23.10.2026Henrique Rocha W6-2, 6-4
21.10.2026Max Alcala Gurri W6-4, 2-6, 6-3
19.10.2026Tristan Boyer W7-5, 6-2
14.10.2026Lukas Neumayer L6-4, 4-6, 6-2
11.10.2026Matej Dodig L3-6, 6-3, 6-2
10.10.2026Vilius Gaubas W6-2, 4-6, 6-4
09.10.2026Tiago Pereira W5-7, 6-2, 6-1
08.10.2026Zsombor Piros W1-6, 6-1, 7-5
05.10.2026Thiago Monteiro W7-6, 5-7, 6-4

Lukas Neumayer, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Jakub Mensik L6-2, 6-2
25.10.2026Titouan Droguet W7-6, 6-3
24.10.2026Vit Kopriva W6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Matej Dodig L6-4, 4-6, 6-3
14.10.2026Elmer Moller W6-4, 4-6, 6-2
10.10.2026Matej Dodig L6-3, 6-1
09.10.2026Max Alcala Gurri W6-7, 6-2, 6-2
08.10.2026Olle Wallin W6-2, 6-2
07.10.2026Florian Broska W4-6, 6-3, 6-2
25.09.2026Luka Mikrut L6-3, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentElmer MollerLukas Neumayer
Coleman Wong 0-1
L 5-7, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Daniel Michalski 1-0
W 2-6, 6-4, 7-6
1-0
W 4-6, 7-5, 6-0
Jaime Faria 0-1
L 6-1, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 7-6
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva 1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
Kimmer Coppejans 0-1
L 6-4, 6-1
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Marko Topo 1-0
W 6-4, 7-5
0-1
L 7-6, 7-5
Matej Dodig 1-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2, W 6-4, 7-6
0-2
L 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-1
Max Alcala Gurri 2-0
W 6-4, 2-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-7, 6-2, 6-2
Nerman Fatic 1-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 6-1
1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
Nikoloz Basilashvili 0-1
L 4-6, 6-2, 7-6
0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 1-0
Svyatoslav Gulin 0-1
L 4-6, 7-5, 7-5
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Tristan Boyer 1-0
W 7-5, 6-2
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3
Zsombor Piros 1-1
W 1-6, 6-1, 7-5, L 6-2, 3-6, 6-4
0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Maia (XI) (Portugal), model gave Elmer Moller 47% at +103

Elmer Moller vs Lukas Neumayer: quick answers

Who won Elmer Moller vs Lukas Neumayer?

Lukas Neumayer beat Elmer Moller 6-4, 4-6, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Elmer Moller and Lukas Neumayer?

They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Lukas Neumayer 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 at Portugal Maia.

Who is in better form, Elmer Moller or Lukas Neumayer?

Elmer Moller is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Lukas Neumayer is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Elmer Moller and Lukas Neumayer?

Elmer Moller is rated 6730 (ATP #174) and Lukas Neumayer is rated 6746 (ATP #158). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Elmer Moller vs Lukas Neumayer?

Elmer Moller is priced at +103 and Lukas Neumayer at -145, which implies a 49% and 59% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.