Ellie Daniels vs Karla Popovic
Updated
Karla Popovic beat Ellie Daniels 6-2, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Karla Popovic leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Daniels is 6-4 in their last 10, Popovic 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Karla Popovic a 55% favorite. At -101 the sportsbook implies 50% for Karla Popovic, 5 points below the model's 55%.
Model minus book: -13 pts
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Karla Popovic at -101 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ellie Daniels | Karla Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6331 | 6291 |
| Tour rank | WTA #900 | WTA #1027 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 22-17 | 42-32 |
| UTR | 10.31 | 10.62 |
Head to head
Karla Popovic leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Karla Popovic | 6-2, 7-6 | Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVII |
| 14.10.2026 | Karla Popovic | 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 | Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVI |
Recent form
Ellie Daniels, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Josy Daems | L | 7-6, 1-0 |
| 26.10.2026 | Anastasia Preda | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Pia Praefke | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Karla Popovic | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Karla Popovic | L | 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 27.09.2026 | Ekaterina Dotsenko | L | 6-4, 6-7, 2-0 |
| 26.09.2026 | Kristina Kroitor | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Eliz Maloney | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Anastasia Bertacchi | W | 6-3, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Lavinia Luciano | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
Karla Popovic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Kamilla Bartone | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Mariia Nozdrachova | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 24.10.2026 | Sandra Samir | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | Radka Zelnickova | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Fleur De Bresser | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Ellie Daniels | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Dune Vaissaud | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Dune Vaissaud | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Annika Barth | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Ellie Daniels | W | 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ellie Daniels | Karla Popovic |
|---|---|---|
| Kristina Kroitor | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-1 W 7-6, 6-4, L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Lavinia Luciano | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Radka Zelnickova | 0-1 L 6-7, 7-5, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: WTA Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), model gave Ellie Daniels 45% at -152
- 2026-10-13: WTA Sharm El Sheikh XVI (Egypt), model gave Ellie Daniels 45% at -152
Ellie Daniels vs Karla Popovic: quick answers
Who won Ellie Daniels vs Karla Popovic?
Karla Popovic beat Ellie Daniels 6-2, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Ellie Daniels and Karla Popovic?
Karla Popovic leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Karla Popovic 6-2, 7-6 at Egypt Sharm El Sheikh XVII.
Who is in better form, Ellie Daniels or Karla Popovic?
Ellie Daniels is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Karla Popovic is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ellie Daniels and Karla Popovic?
Ellie Daniels is rated 6331 (WTA #900) and Karla Popovic is rated 6291 (WTA #1027). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ellie Daniels vs Karla Popovic?
Ellie Daniels is priced at -141 and Karla Popovic at -101, which implies a 59% and 50% chance to win. The model rates Karla Popovic 5 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 50%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.