Ella Mcdonald vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ella Mcdonald, giving them a 97% chance to win against Mathilde Ngijol Carre (3%). Ella Mcdonald leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mcdonald is 9-1 in their last 10, Carre 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ella Mcdonald a 97% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ella Mcdonald at -3333 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ella Mcdonald | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6689 | 6212 |
| Tour rank | WTA #292 | WTA #1268 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 11-2 | 3-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 42-15 | 27-14 |
| UTR | 11.58 | 10.21 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1369 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Ella Mcdonald leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Ella Mcdonald | 6-2, 6-1 | USA Austin |
Recent form
Ella Mcdonald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Caroline Dolehide | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Elvina Kalieva | W | 6-1, 3-0 |
| 24.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Anastasia Tikhonova | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Iryna Shymanovich | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kate Fakih | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Kristina Penickova | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Mathilde Ngijol Carre, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Gloriana Nahum | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 26.10.2026 | Michelle Dzjachangirova | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Megan Heuser | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Ella Mcdonald | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Salma Drugdova | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Stefani Webb | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Charlotte Narti | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 27.09.2026 | Malwina Rowinska | W | 2-6, 6-1, 1-0 |
| 20.09.2026 | Tess Bucher | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Bella Payne | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ella Mcdonald | Mathilde Ngijol Carre |
|---|---|---|
| Julieta Pareja | 0-1 L 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
Ella Mcdonald vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre: quick answers
Who will win Ella Mcdonald vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ella Mcdonald, giving them a 97% chance to win against Mathilde Ngijol Carre (3%).
What is the head-to-head record between Ella Mcdonald and Mathilde Ngijol Carre?
Ella Mcdonald leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Ella Mcdonald 6-2, 6-1 at USA Austin.
Who is in better form, Ella Mcdonald or Mathilde Ngijol Carre?
Ella Mcdonald is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mathilde Ngijol Carre is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ella Mcdonald and Mathilde Ngijol Carre?
Ella Mcdonald is rated 6689 (WTA #292) and Mathilde Ngijol Carre is rated 6212 (WTA #1268). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ella Mcdonald vs Mathilde Ngijol Carre?
Ella Mcdonald is priced at -3333 and Mathilde Ngijol Carre at +700, which implies a 97% and 12% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.