Ella Mcdonald vs Iryna Shymanovich
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Iryna Shymanovich, giving them a 62% chance to win against Ella Mcdonald (38%). Ella Mcdonald leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mcdonald is 9-1 in their last 10, Shymanovich 3-7. At +125, the odds imply 44% for Iryna Shymanovich, below the model's 62%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Iryna Shymanovich a 62% favorite. At +125 the sportsbook implies 44% for Iryna Shymanovich, 17 points below the model's 62%.
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model minus book: +17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Iryna Shymanovich at +125 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ella Mcdonald | Iryna Shymanovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6689 | 6780 |
| Tour rank | WTA #292 | WTA #213 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 11-2 | 0-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 42-15 | 25-24 |
| UTR | 11.58 | 11.74 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1369 | 1588 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Ella Mcdonald leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Ella Mcdonald | 6-4, 6-4 | USA Austin |
Recent form
Ella Mcdonald, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Caroline Dolehide | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Elvina Kalieva | W | 6-1, 3-0 |
| 24.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 23.10.2026 | Anastasia Tikhonova | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Iryna Shymanovich | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kate Fakih | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Kristina Penickova | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
Iryna Shymanovich, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Ella Mcdonald | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Veronica Miroshnichenko | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Kristina Penickova | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.09.2026 | Zeynep Sonmez | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 13.09.2026 | Lea Ma | W | 7-6, 3-0 |
| 12.09.2026 | Ana Sofia Sanchez | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Julieta Pareja | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 24.08.2026 | Rebeka Masarova | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 04.08.2026 | Polina Iatcenko | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 29.07.2026 | Katie Volynets | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ella Mcdonald | Iryna Shymanovich |
|---|---|---|
| Ana Sofia Sanchez | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
| Julieta Pareja | 0-1 L 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Kristina Penickova | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: WTA Austin (XI) (USA), model gave Ella Mcdonald 38% at -179
Ella Mcdonald vs Iryna Shymanovich: quick answers
Who will win Ella Mcdonald vs Iryna Shymanovich?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Iryna Shymanovich, giving them a 62% chance to win against Ella Mcdonald (38%).
What is the head-to-head record between Ella Mcdonald and Iryna Shymanovich?
Ella Mcdonald leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Ella Mcdonald 6-4, 6-4 at USA Austin.
Who is in better form, Ella Mcdonald or Iryna Shymanovich?
Ella Mcdonald is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Iryna Shymanovich is 3-7 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ella Mcdonald and Iryna Shymanovich?
Ella Mcdonald is rated 6689 (WTA #292) and Iryna Shymanovich is rated 6780 (WTA #213). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ella Mcdonald vs Iryna Shymanovich?
Ella Mcdonald is priced at -179 and Iryna Shymanovich at +125, which implies a 64% and 44% chance to win. The model rates Iryna Shymanovich 17 points higher than the odds do (62% vs 44%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.