Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva
Updated
Francesca Curmi beat Elizara Yaneva 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elizara Yaneva at 51%. Francesca Curmi leads 2-1 in their head-to-head. Curmi is 8-2 in their last 10, Yaneva 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Elizara Yaneva a 51% favorite. At +158 the sportsbook implies 39% for Francesca Curmi, 10 points below the model's 49%.
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Francesca Curmi at +158 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Francesca Curmi | Elizara Yaneva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6761 | 6793 |
| Tour rank | WTA #230 | WTA #200 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-1 | 10-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 49-24 | 58-26 |
| UTR | 11.68 | 11.75 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1557 | 1553 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Francesca Curmi leads 2-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 | Spain Mallorca |
| 16.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 | Spain Mallorca |
| 04.02.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | 6-3, 6-3 | Portugal Porto |
Recent form
Francesca Curmi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Clara Vlasselaer | W | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Astrid Cirotte | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ariana Geerlings | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elizara Yaneva | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Marina Bassols Ribera | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Eva Vedder | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alisa Oktiabreva | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Miriam Bianca Bulgaru | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | Maayan Laron | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Elizara Yaneva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Oksana Selekhmeteva | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Jessica Pieri | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Francesca Curmi | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Carole Monnet | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Jennifer Ruggeri | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Sonja Zhenikhova | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Giulia Safina Popa | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo | L | 2-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Francesca Curmi | Elizara Yaneva |
|---|---|---|
| Alisa Oktiabreva | 0-2 L 7-6, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Ayla Aksu | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
1-1 W 6-4, 6-1, L 7-5, 6-4 |
| Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 1-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 7-5, W 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-0 |
| Georgia Pedone | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Ipek Oz | 1-0 W 2-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 7-5 |
| Jeline Vandromme | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-0 |
0-3 L 6-3, 7-5, L 1-6, 6-4, 6-2, L 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
| Justina Mikulskyte | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-1 |
| Katerina Tsygourova | 1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Laura Mair | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-0, 6-0 |
| Martina Trevisan | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Sarah Van Emst | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
| Sofya Lansere | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Mallorca (Spain), model gave Francesca Curmi 49% at +158
Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva: quick answers
Who won Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva?
Francesca Curmi beat Elizara Yaneva 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elizara Yaneva at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Francesca Curmi and Elizara Yaneva?
Francesca Curmi leads 2-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Francesca Curmi 6-1, 4-6, 6-4 at Spain Mallorca.
Who is in better form, Francesca Curmi or Elizara Yaneva?
Francesca Curmi is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Elizara Yaneva is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Francesca Curmi and Elizara Yaneva?
Francesca Curmi is rated 6761 (WTA #230) and Elizara Yaneva is rated 6793 (WTA #200). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva?
Francesca Curmi is priced at +158 and Elizara Yaneva at -217, which implies a 39% and 68% chance to win. The model rates Francesca Curmi 10 points higher than the odds do (49% vs 39%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.