Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens
Updated
Qinwen Zheng beat Elise Mertens 7-5, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elise Mertens at 55%. Qinwen Zheng leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zheng is 8-2 in their last 10, Mertens 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Elise Mertens a 55% favorite. At +118 the sportsbook implies 46% for Elise Mertens, 9 points below the model's 55%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elise Mertens at +118 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Qinwen Zheng | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7080 | 7115 |
| Tour rank | WTA #29 | WTA #19 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 5-1 | 5-1 |
| Current streak | 7 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 25-15 | 34-24 |
| UTR | 12.31 | 12.65 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1898 | 1912 |
| Best surface | Clay | Clay |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Qinwen Zheng leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | 7-5, 6-2 | China Peking |
Recent form
Qinwen Zheng, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Alina Charaeva | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Anna Kalinskaya | W | 6-7, 6-4, 3-0 |
| 01.10.2026 | Han Shi | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 09.09.2026 | Elena Rybakina | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Iga Swiatek | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
Elise Mertens, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Moyuka Uchijima | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 2-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Daria Snigur | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 10.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Coco Gauff | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Katie Volynets | W | 6-0, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Qinwen Zheng | Elise Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
2-0 W 6-3, 6-3, W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Anna Bondar | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-1, 7-5 |
| Cristina Bucsa | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
| Elena Rybakina | 0-3 L 3-6, 6-1, 6-4, L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, L 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
1-1 W 7-6, 6-1, L 6-1, 6-3 |
| Iga Swiatek | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Jasmine Paolini | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
| Maja Chwalinska | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-0 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-0 |
| Marie Bouzkova | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
2-0 W 6-4, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens: quick answers
Who won Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens?
Qinwen Zheng beat Elise Mertens 7-5, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elise Mertens at 55%.
What is the head-to-head record between Qinwen Zheng and Elise Mertens?
Qinwen Zheng leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 10, 2026, won by Qinwen Zheng 7-5, 6-2 at China Peking.
Who is in better form, Qinwen Zheng or Elise Mertens?
Qinwen Zheng is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 7 Wins). Elise Mertens is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Qinwen Zheng and Elise Mertens?
Qinwen Zheng is rated 7080 (WTA #29) and Elise Mertens is rated 7115 (WTA #19). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens?
Qinwen Zheng is priced at -145 and Elise Mertens at +118, which implies a 59% and 46% chance to win. The model rates Elise Mertens 9 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 46%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.