Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal
Updated
Sonay Kartal beat Elina Svitolina 6-2, 2-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elina Svitolina at 75%. Sonay Kartal leads 2-1 in their head-to-head. Svitolina is 6-4 in their last 10, Kartal 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Elina Svitolina a 75% favorite. At -208 the sportsbook implies 68% for Elina Svitolina, 8 points below the model's 75%.
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elina Svitolina at -208 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Elina Svitolina | Sonay Kartal | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7145 | 7148 |
| Tour rank | WTA #10 | WTA #8 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 6-3 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 52-18 | 21-10 |
| UTR | 12.89 | 12.54 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2033 | 1854 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Sonay Kartal leads 2-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 | China Wuhan |
| 16.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 | China Wuhan |
| 09.01.2026 | Elina Svitolina | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 | New Zealand Auckland |
Recent form
Elina Svitolina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Hanyu Guo | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | W | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Ann Li | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Maria Sakkari | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Linda Noskova | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.09.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
Sonay Kartal, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Maja Chwalinska | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 17.10.2026 | Jelena Ostapenko | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Belinda Bencic | W | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Anhelina Kalinina | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alina Charaeva | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Xin Yu Wang | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Elina Svitolina | Sonay Kartal |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | 1-2 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3, W 6-1, 4-1, L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-1 |
| Belinda Bencic | 2-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-0, W 4-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
| Cristina Bucsa | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
| Elena Rybakina | 1-1 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 4-3 |
| Jasmine Paolini | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-0 |
| Magda Linette | 1-0 W 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Xin Yu Wang | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Elina Svitolina 75% at -208
Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal: quick answers
Who won Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal?
Sonay Kartal beat Elina Svitolina 6-2, 2-6, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elina Svitolina at 75%.
What is the head-to-head record between Elina Svitolina and Sonay Kartal?
Sonay Kartal leads 2-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Sonay Kartal 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Elina Svitolina or Sonay Kartal?
Elina Svitolina is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Sonay Kartal is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Elina Svitolina and Sonay Kartal?
Elina Svitolina is rated 7145 (WTA #10) and Sonay Kartal is rated 7148 (WTA #8). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal?
Elina Svitolina is priced at -208 and Sonay Kartal at +173, which implies a 68% and 37% chance to win. The model rates Elina Svitolina 8 points higher than the odds do (75% vs 68%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.