Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina
Updated
Qinwen Zheng beat Elina Svitolina 6-3, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elina Svitolina at 77%. Qinwen Zheng leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Zheng is 8-2 in their last 10, Svitolina 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Elina Svitolina a 77% favorite. At -141 the sportsbook implies 59% for Elina Svitolina, 18 points below the model's 77%.
Model minus book: -23 pts
Model minus book: +18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elina Svitolina at -141 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Qinwen Zheng | Elina Svitolina | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7080 | 7145 |
| Tour rank | WTA #29 | WTA #10 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 7 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 25-15 | 52-18 |
| UTR | 12.31 | 12.89 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1898 | 2051 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Qinwen Zheng leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | 6-3, 7-6 | China Peking |
Recent form
Qinwen Zheng, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Elise Mertens | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Alina Charaeva | W | 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 05.10.2026 | Marie Bouzkova | W | 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Anna Kalinskaya | W | 6-7, 6-4, 3-0 |
| 01.10.2026 | Han Shi | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 09.09.2026 | Elena Rybakina | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Iga Swiatek | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
Elina Svitolina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Hanyu Guo | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | W | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Ann Li | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Maria Sakkari | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Linda Noskova | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.09.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Qinwen Zheng | Elina Svitolina |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
0-2 L 6-3, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Anna Bondar | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-1 W 3-6, 6-1, 7-6, L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-4, 3-0 |
1-2 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-3, W 6-1, 4-1, L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Antonia Ruzic | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| Cristina Bucsa | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Elena Rybakina | 0-3 L 3-6, 6-1, 6-4, L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3, L 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
1-1 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-4 |
| Iga Swiatek | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
2-1 L 6-3, 1-6, 6-3, W 6-4, 2-6, 6-2, W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Jasmine Paolini | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Katerina Siniakova | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
2-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 6-2, W 6-1, 1-1 |
| Maria Sakkari | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Solana Sierra | 1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-2 |
Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina: quick answers
Who won Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina?
Qinwen Zheng beat Elina Svitolina 6-3, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Elina Svitolina at 77%.
What is the head-to-head record between Qinwen Zheng and Elina Svitolina?
Qinwen Zheng leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Qinwen Zheng 6-3, 7-6 at China Peking.
Who is in better form, Qinwen Zheng or Elina Svitolina?
Qinwen Zheng is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 7 Wins). Elina Svitolina is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Qinwen Zheng and Elina Svitolina?
Qinwen Zheng is rated 7080 (WTA #29) and Elina Svitolina is rated 7145 (WTA #10). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Qinwen Zheng vs Elina Svitolina?
Qinwen Zheng is priced at +119 and Elina Svitolina at -141, which implies a 46% and 59% chance to win. The model rates Elina Svitolina 18 points higher than the odds do (77% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.