Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila Samsonova
Updated
Elina Svitolina beat Liudmila Samsonova 6-2, 5-7, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Elina Svitolina leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Svitolina is 6-4 in their last 10, Samsonova 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Elina Svitolina a 79% favorite. At -286 the sportsbook implies 74% for Elina Svitolina, 5 points below the model's 79%.
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elina Svitolina at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Elina Svitolina | Liudmila Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7145 | 7066 |
| Tour rank | WTA #10 | WTA #38 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 52-18 | 21-26 |
| UTR | 12.89 | 12.39 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2033 | 1836 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Elina Svitolina leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 | China Wuhan |
| 23.06.2026 | Elina Svitolina | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 | Germany Bad Homburg |
Recent form
Elina Svitolina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sonay Kartal | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Hanyu Guo | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Liudmila Samsonova | W | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Ann Li | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Maria Sakkari | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Linda Noskova | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.09.2026 | Jasmine Paolini | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
Liudmila Samsonova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Heather Watson | L | 2-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Lilli Tagger | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Elina Svitolina | L | 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Katerina Siniakova | W | 6-1, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Karolina Muchova | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | W | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Peyton Stearns | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 18.09.2026 | Marta Kostyuk | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 17.09.2026 | Kayla Day | W | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 15.09.2026 | Elsa Jacquemot | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Elina Svitolina | Liudmila Samsonova |
|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Potapova | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Ann Li | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Antonia Ruzic | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-4 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| Coco Gauff | 3-0 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-7, 6-4, W 6-1, 6-2 |
0-2 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-1, L 7-5, 6-1 |
| Diana Shnaider | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
1-1 L 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Elena Rybakina | 1-1 W 2-6, 6-4, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Emerson Jones | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Hailey Baptiste | 1-1 W 6-1, 6-2, L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-2 L 6-3, 7-5, L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| Jessica Pegula | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Karolina Muchova | 0-1 L 6-4, 2-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Katerina Siniakova | 2-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 6-2, W 6-1, 1-1 |
2-0 W 6-1, 5-7, 6-2, W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Laura Siegemund | 1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 0-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| Marta Kostyuk | 1-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-2, W 7-5 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Maya Joint | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-1 L 3-6, 6-2, 6-2, W 7-5, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Polina Kudermetova | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Xin Yu Wang | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Wuhan (China), model gave Elina Svitolina 79% at -286
Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila Samsonova: quick answers
Who won Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila Samsonova?
Elina Svitolina beat Liudmila Samsonova 6-2, 5-7, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Elina Svitolina and Liudmila Samsonova?
Elina Svitolina leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Elina Svitolina 6-2, 5-7, 6-2 at China Wuhan.
Who is in better form, Elina Svitolina or Liudmila Samsonova?
Elina Svitolina is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Liudmila Samsonova is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Elina Svitolina and Liudmila Samsonova?
Elina Svitolina is rated 7145 (WTA #10) and Liudmila Samsonova is rated 7066 (WTA #38). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Elina Svitolina vs Liudmila Samsonova?
Elina Svitolina is priced at -286 and Liudmila Samsonova at +230, which implies a 74% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Elina Svitolina 5 points higher than the odds do (79% vs 74%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.