Elena Rybakina vs Polina Kudermetova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Elena Rybakina, giving them a 91% chance to win against Polina Kudermetova (9%). Elena Rybakina leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Rybakina is 9-1 in their last 10, Kudermetova 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Elena Rybakina a 91% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model minus book: -7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elena Rybakina at -833 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Elena Rybakina | Polina Kudermetova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7176 | 6921 |
| Tour rank | WTA #2 | WTA #103 |
| Last 10 matches | 9-1 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 5 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 55-15 | 41-25 |
| UTR | 12.98 | 12.03 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 2144 | 1682 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Hard |
Head to head
Elena Rybakina leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Elena Rybakina | 5-0 | China Ningbo |
Recent form
Elena Rybakina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Yulia Putintseva | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Katarzyna Kawa | W | 6-1, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Polina Kudermetova | W | 5-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Alina Charaeva | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 12.09.2026 | Aryna Sabalenka | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 11.09.2026 | Coco Gauff | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 09.09.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Naomi Osaka | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
Polina Kudermetova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Janice Tjen | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Cristina Bucsa | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Anastasia Zakharova | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Katie Volynets | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 02.10.2026 | Clara Tauson | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Ye Xin Ma | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 24.08.2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Elena Rybakina | Polina Kudermetova |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Charaeva | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
3-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-1, W 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Elina Svitolina | 1-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-4, W 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Leylah Fernandez | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Maria Sakkari | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-0, 7-6 |
| Mirra Andreeva | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Elena Rybakina 91% at -833
- 2026-10-26: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Elena Rybakina 91% at -833
- 2026-10-25: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Elena Rybakina 91% at -833
- 2026-10-24: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Elena Rybakina 91% at -833
- 2026-10-23: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Elena Rybakina 91% at -833
- 2026-10-22: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Elena Rybakina 91% at -833
- 2026-10-21: WTA Ningbo (IX) (China), model gave Elena Rybakina 91% at -833
Elena Rybakina vs Polina Kudermetova: quick answers
Who will win Elena Rybakina vs Polina Kudermetova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Elena Rybakina, giving them a 91% chance to win against Polina Kudermetova (9%).
What is the head-to-head record between Elena Rybakina and Polina Kudermetova?
Elena Rybakina leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Elena Rybakina 5-0 at China Ningbo.
Who is in better form, Elena Rybakina or Polina Kudermetova?
Elena Rybakina is 9-1 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Wins). Polina Kudermetova is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Elena Rybakina and Polina Kudermetova?
Elena Rybakina is rated 7176 (WTA #2) and Polina Kudermetova is rated 6921 (WTA #103). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Elena Rybakina vs Polina Kudermetova?
Elena Rybakina is priced at -833 and Polina Kudermetova at +547, which implies a 89% and 15% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.