Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Ekaterina Tupitsyna

WTA Monastir (IX) III (Tunisia), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Ekaterina Tupitsyna beat Tiphanie Lemaitre 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Lemaitre is 8-2 in their last 10, Tupitsyna 6-4.

Result: Ekaterina Tupitsyna beat Tiphanie Lemaitre 6-4, 6-3. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Ekaterina Tupitsyna a 71% favorite. At -143 the sportsbook implies 59% for Ekaterina Tupitsyna, 12 points below the model's 71%.

Model
29%
Book
53%

Model minus book: -24 pts

Model
71%
Book
59%

Model minus book: +12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ekaterina Tupitsyna at -143 · Model track record

Player comparison

Tiphanie LemaitreEkaterina Tupitsyna
Tennis Gauge rating65576476
Tour rankWTA #462WTA #590
Last 10 matches8-26-4
Last 30 days9-26-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record25-3137-11
UTR10.8410.85

Head to head

Tied 1-1.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Ekaterina Tupitsyna6-4, 6-3Tunisia Monastir
08.10.2026Tiphanie Lemaitre5-7, 6-4, 7-5Tunisia Monastir

Recent form

Tiphanie Lemaitre, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Elena Milovanovic L6-3, 6-3
23.10.2026Maaya Rajeshwaran Revathi W6-1, 6-0
22.10.2026Sabine Rutlauka W6-0, 6-0
21.10.2026Isabella Barrera Aguirre W6-2, 6-0
16.10.2026Ekaterina Tupitsyna L6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Isabella Barrera Aguirre W6-3, 6-3
14.10.2026Midori Castillo Meza W6-2, 6-1
11.10.2026Zuzanna Pawlikowska W6-3, 3-6, 7-6
10.10.2026Polina Skliar W6-3, 6-3
09.10.2026Amelia Paszun W7-5, 6-2

Ekaterina Tupitsyna, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Raluka Serban L6-3, 6-4
26.10.2026Doga Turkmen W6-0, 6-3
25.10.2026Minel Naz Kaynak W6-3, 6-2
17.10.2026Vaishnavi Adkar L6-2, 6-1
16.10.2026Tiphanie Lemaitre W6-4, 6-3
15.10.2026Jenny Lim W6-4, 6-1
14.10.2026Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W3-6, 7-5, 6-0
08.10.2026Tiphanie Lemaitre L5-7, 6-4, 7-5
07.10.2026Chenting Zhu W6-3, 6-7, 6-3
20.09.2026Ekaterina Perelygina L6-2, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentTiphanie LemaitreEkaterina Tupitsyna
Elena Milovanovic 0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA Monastir (IX) III (Tunisia), model gave Tiphanie Lemaitre 33% at -111
  • 2026-10-07: WTA Monastir (IX) II (Tunisia), model gave Tiphanie Lemaitre 33% at +107

Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Ekaterina Tupitsyna: quick answers

Who won Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Ekaterina Tupitsyna?

Ekaterina Tupitsyna beat Tiphanie Lemaitre 6-4, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Tiphanie Lemaitre and Ekaterina Tupitsyna?

They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Ekaterina Tupitsyna 6-4, 6-3 at Tunisia Monastir.

Who is in better form, Tiphanie Lemaitre or Ekaterina Tupitsyna?

Tiphanie Lemaitre is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ekaterina Tupitsyna is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Tiphanie Lemaitre and Ekaterina Tupitsyna?

Tiphanie Lemaitre is rated 6557 (WTA #462) and Ekaterina Tupitsyna is rated 6476 (WTA #590). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Tiphanie Lemaitre vs Ekaterina Tupitsyna?

Tiphanie Lemaitre is priced at -111 and Ekaterina Tupitsyna at -143, which implies a 53% and 59% chance to win. The model rates Ekaterina Tupitsyna 12 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.