Junlu Sun vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ekaterina Ovcharenko, giving them a 96% chance to win against Junlu Sun (4%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Sun is 5-5 in their last 10, Ovcharenko 4-6. At -400, the odds imply 80% for Ekaterina Ovcharenko, below the model's 96%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ekaterina Ovcharenko a 96% favorite. At -400 the sportsbook implies 80% for Ekaterina Ovcharenko, 16 points below the model's 96%.
Model minus book: -25 pts
Model minus book: +16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ekaterina Ovcharenko at -400 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Junlu Sun | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6281 | 6490 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1064 | WTA #569 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 5-4 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 26-25 | 18-23 |
| UTR | 9.15 | 10.61 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1308 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Junlu Sun | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 | China Qian Daohu |
| 15.10.2026 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | 7-5, 7-5 | China Shenzhen |
Recent form
Junlu Sun, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Yanan Hou | L | 6-7, 7-6, 10-7 |
| 22.10.2026 | Rada Zolotareva | L | 7-6, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | W | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Liuyan An | W | 6-1, 2-6, 10-7 |
| 18.10.2026 | Meng Yi Chen | W | 4-6, 6-2, 11-9 |
| 15.10.2026 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Jiangxue Han | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Xiaochuan Nie | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Fang An Lin | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Yingqun Sun | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
Ekaterina Ovcharenko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Wushuang Zheng | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Junlu Sun | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Chengyiyi Yuan | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Chengyiyi Yuan | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Junlu Sun | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Liuyan An | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 07.9.2026 | Elsa Jacquemot | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 |
| 26.08.2026 | Fiona Crawley | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Kaitlin Quevedo | W | 6-1, 0-6, 7-6 |
| 23.08.2026 | Esha Velaga | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Junlu Sun | Ekaterina Ovcharenko |
|---|---|---|
| Chengyiyi Yuan | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-4, L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Hong Yi Cody Wong | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
| Liuyan An | 1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 10-7 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Wushuang Zheng | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA Shenzhen (China), model gave Ekaterina Ovcharenko 96% at -500
- 2026-10-14: WTA Shenzhen (China), model gave Ekaterina Ovcharenko 96% at -500
Junlu Sun vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko: quick answers
Who will win Junlu Sun vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ekaterina Ovcharenko, giving them a 96% chance to win against Junlu Sun (4%).
What is the head-to-head record between Junlu Sun and Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Junlu Sun 3-6, 6-1, 6-2 at China Qian Daohu.
Who is in better form, Junlu Sun or Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Junlu Sun is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Ekaterina Ovcharenko is 4-6 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Junlu Sun and Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Junlu Sun is rated 6281 (WTA #1064) and Ekaterina Ovcharenko is rated 6490 (WTA #569). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Junlu Sun vs Ekaterina Ovcharenko?
Junlu Sun is priced at +243 and Ekaterina Ovcharenko at -400, which implies a 29% and 80% chance to win. The model rates Ekaterina Ovcharenko 16 points higher than the odds do (96% vs 80%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.