Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva
Updated
Mirra Andreeva beat Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Alexandrova is 6-4 in their last 10, Andreeva 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mirra Andreeva a 80% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mirra Andreeva at -357 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | Mirra Andreeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 7107 | 7155 |
| Tour rank | WTA #23 | WTA #6 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 3-0 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 23-26 | 51-16 |
| UTR | 12.38 | 12.88 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1854 | 2048 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08.10.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | 7-6, 7-6 | China Peking |
| 24.06.2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 6-3, 6-4 | Germany Bad Homburg |
Recent form
Ekaterina Alexandrova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Kamilla Rakhimova | L | 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Ann Li | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Marta Kostyuk | W | 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Hanyu Guo | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Mirra Andreeva | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Linda Noskova | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Diana Shnaider | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
Mirra Andreeva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.10.2026 | Qinwen Zheng | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Nikola Bartunkova | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Ekaterina Alexandrova | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Daria Snigur | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Polina Kudermetova | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 02.10.2026 | Yue Yuan | W | 3-6, 6-0, 6-0 |
| 25.09.2026 | Leylah Fernandez | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Coco Gauff | L | 2-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 07.9.2026 | Anastasia Potapova | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Mirra Andreeva |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Anastasia Potapova | 1-0 W 6-1 |
2-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, W 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Diana Shnaider | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
| Elina Svitolina | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
| Hailey Baptiste | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | 0-2 L 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Karolina Pliskova | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-2 |
| Leylah Fernandez | 0-2 L 4-6, 6-2, 6-1, L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
1-2 L 6-2, 7-5, L 6-1, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Linda Noskova | 1-1 W 6-2, 6-2, L 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
| Magda Linette | 0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 |
2-0 W 7-5, 6-4, W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Marta Kostyuk | 1-1 W 6-4, L 6-3, 6-2 |
1-3 L 4-6, 6-0, 6-2, W 6-1, 6-3, L 6-3, 7-5, L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Mccartney Kessler | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-7, 6-1 |
| Panna Udvardy | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-2, L 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva: quick answers
Who won Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva?
Mirra Andreeva beat Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-6, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Mirra Andreeva?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 8, 2026, won by Mirra Andreeva 7-6, 7-6 at China Peking.
Who is in better form, Ekaterina Alexandrova or Mirra Andreeva?
Ekaterina Alexandrova is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Mirra Andreeva is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ekaterina Alexandrova and Mirra Andreeva?
Ekaterina Alexandrova is rated 7107 (WTA #23) and Mirra Andreeva is rated 7155 (WTA #6). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Mirra Andreeva?
Ekaterina Alexandrova is priced at +265 and Mirra Andreeva at -357, which implies a 27% and 78% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.