Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ye Hongyu

ATP Qian Daohu (China), Hard. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 08:15.

Updated

Egor Pleshivtsev beat Ye Hongyu 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Egor Pleshivtsev leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pleshivtsev is 5-5 in their last 10, Hongyu 4-6.

Result: Egor Pleshivtsev beat Ye Hongyu 6-4, 6-1. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Egor Pleshivtsev a 76% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
76%
Book
88%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Ye Hongyu +360
Model
24%
Book
22%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Egor Pleshivtsev at -769 · Model track record

Player comparison

Egor PleshivtsevYe Hongyu
Tennis Gauge rating63506012
Tour rankATP #953ATP #2837
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days4-22-1
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record37-2722-24
UTR13.1912.19

Head to head

Egor Pleshivtsev leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Egor Pleshivtsev6-4, 6-1China Qian Daohu

Recent form

Egor Pleshivtsev, last 10

DateOpponentScore
26.10.2026Semen Pankin L6-3, 6-4
25.10.2026Dominik Palan W3-6, 6-1, 7-6
18.10.2026Luca Castelnuovo L7-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Matthew Dellavedova L6-1, 6-1
16.10.2026Cruz Hewitt W6-4, 7-5
15.10.2026Ye Hongyu W6-4, 6-1
14.10.2026Evan Zhu W3-6, 6-4, 6-0
08.10.2026Yanki Erel L7-5, 6-1
07.10.2026Yua Taka W2-6, 6-4, 6-2
18.09.2026Arthur Laborde L6-3, 7-6

Ye Hongyu, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Egor Pleshivtsev L6-4, 6-1
14.10.2026Tsung Hao Huang W7-6, 6-2
04.10.2026Markus Malaszszak L6-3, 6-2
03.10.2026Mingliang Yue W6-1, 6-2
13.09.2026Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong L6-0, 6-1
10.08.2026Hongjin Qi W6-4, 3-6, 0-1
09.08.2026Adrian Arcon L6-3, 6-4
01.08.2026Xin Zhou L7-6, 6-4
13.07.2026Chun Chien Hou L7-5, 6-3
12.07.2026Zhiheng Xia W6-2, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentEgor PleshivtsevYe Hongyu
Luca Castelnuovo 0-1
L 7-6, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Qian Sun 1-0
W 1-6, 7-5, 6-0
0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
Xirui Han 1-0
W 6-1, 7-5
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Qian Daohu (China), model gave Egor Pleshivtsev 76% at -769

Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ye Hongyu: quick answers

Who won Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ye Hongyu?

Egor Pleshivtsev beat Ye Hongyu 6-4, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Egor Pleshivtsev and Ye Hongyu?

Egor Pleshivtsev leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Egor Pleshivtsev 6-4, 6-1 at China Qian Daohu.

Who is in better form, Egor Pleshivtsev or Ye Hongyu?

Egor Pleshivtsev is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ye Hongyu is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Egor Pleshivtsev and Ye Hongyu?

Egor Pleshivtsev is rated 6350 (ATP #953) and Ye Hongyu is rated 6012 (ATP #2837). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Egor Pleshivtsev vs Ye Hongyu?

Egor Pleshivtsev is priced at -769 and Ye Hongyu at +360, which implies a 88% and 22% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.