Eero Vasa vs Michael Wright

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 02:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Eero Vasa, giving them a 90% chance to win against Michael Wright (10%). Eero Vasa leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vasa is 5-5 in their last 10, Wright 4-6.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Eero Vasa a 90% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Eero Vasa -1250
Model
90%
Book
93%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model
10%
Book
15%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Eero Vasa at -1250 · Model track record

Player comparison

Eero VasaMichael Wright
Tennis Gauge rating64706051
Tour rankATP #593ATP #2548
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days5-20-2
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record35-2915-24
UTR13.6412.41
Elo (52 weeks)1382–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Eero Vasa leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Eero Vasa6-4, 7-5Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X

Recent form

Eero Vasa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Matteo Gribaldo L1-6, 6-4, 6-2
20.10.2026Michael Wright W6-4, 7-5
14.10.2026Giorgio Tabacco L6-0, 6-1
13.10.2026Luis Carlos Alvarez W6-4, 7-6
25.09.2026Samir Banerjee L6-2, 6-1
24.09.2026Wojciech Marek W6-4, 7-6
23.09.2026Kenzo Koistila Larsson W6-1, 6-1
22.09.2026Sizya Ernest Kivanda W6-3, 6-1
18.09.2026Valentin Vacherot L6-3, 7-6
06.09.2026Adrian Oetzbach L6-3, 6-0

Michael Wright, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Eero Vasa L6-4, 7-5
04.10.2026Leonardo Primucci L6-2, 1-6, 1-0
21.09.2026Erik Gahnstrom L6-4, 7-5
20.09.2026Filip Hesser W6-3, 6-7, 1-0
12.09.2026Pedro Liborio L6-2, 6-4
09.09.2026Oscar Weightman L6-4, 6-1
07.09.2026Jared Horwood W7-6, 6-3
06.09.2026Lewie Lane W3-6, 6-1, 1-0
31.08.2026Philippe Renard L6-0, 3-6, 1-0
30.08.2026Alex Kobelt W4-6, 6-4, 1-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Eero Vasa vs Michael Wright: quick answers

Who will win Eero Vasa vs Michael Wright?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Eero Vasa, giving them a 90% chance to win against Michael Wright (10%).

What is the head-to-head record between Eero Vasa and Michael Wright?

Eero Vasa leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Eero Vasa 6-4, 7-5 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.

Who is in better form, Eero Vasa or Michael Wright?

Eero Vasa is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Michael Wright is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Eero Vasa and Michael Wright?

Eero Vasa is rated 6470 (ATP #593) and Michael Wright is rated 6051 (ATP #2548). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Eero Vasa vs Michael Wright?

Eero Vasa is priced at -1250 and Michael Wright at +550, which implies a 93% and 15% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.