Eero Vasa vs Matteo Gribaldo

ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula X (Italy), Clay. Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 03:30.

Updated

Matteo Gribaldo beat Eero Vasa 1-6, 6-4, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Eero Vasa at 85%. Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Vasa is 5-5 in their last 10, Gribaldo 6-4.

Result: Matteo Gribaldo beat Eero Vasa 1-6, 6-4, 6-2. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Eero Vasa.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Eero Vasa a 85% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Eero Vasa -1429
Model
85%
Book
93%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model
15%
Book
16%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Eero Vasa at -1429 · Model track record

Player comparison

Eero VasaMatteo Gribaldo
Tennis Gauge rating64706474
Tour rankATP #593ATP #580
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days5-21-1
Current streak1 Loss5 Wins
Season record35-296-7
UTR13.6413.13
Elo (52 weeks)1382–
Best surfaceGrass–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
21.10.2026Matteo Gribaldo1-6, 6-4, 6-2Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X

Recent form

Eero Vasa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
21.10.2026Matteo Gribaldo L1-6, 6-4, 6-2
20.10.2026Michael Wright W6-4, 7-5
14.10.2026Giorgio Tabacco L6-0, 6-1
13.10.2026Luis Carlos Alvarez W6-4, 7-6
25.09.2026Samir Banerjee L6-2, 6-1
24.09.2026Wojciech Marek W6-4, 7-6
23.09.2026Kenzo Koistila Larsson W6-1, 6-1
22.09.2026Sizya Ernest Kivanda W6-3, 6-1
18.09.2026Valentin Vacherot L6-3, 7-6
06.09.2026Adrian Oetzbach L6-3, 6-0

Matteo Gribaldo, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Adrian Oetzbach W6-1, 6-3
23.10.2026Lorenzo Angelini W6-2, 6-2
22.10.2026Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini W1-6, 6-3, 6-4
21.10.2026Eero Vasa W1-6, 6-4, 6-2
20.10.2026Marcel Zielinski W6-3, 6-2
25.09.2026Svit Suljic L6-3, 7-5
06.09.2026Emilio Camacho L6-4, 7-6
20.07.2026Pietro Romeo Scomparin L1-6, 6-2, 6-1
06.07.2026Jack Secord L5-7, 2-6
26.03.2026Navneet Raghuram W7-6, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentEero VasaMatteo Gribaldo
Adrian Oetzbach 0-1
L 6-3, 6-0
1-0
W 6-1, 6-3

Eero Vasa vs Matteo Gribaldo: quick answers

Who won Eero Vasa vs Matteo Gribaldo?

Matteo Gribaldo beat Eero Vasa 1-6, 6-4, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Eero Vasa at 85%.

What is the head-to-head record between Eero Vasa and Matteo Gribaldo?

Matteo Gribaldo leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Matteo Gribaldo 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula X.

Who is in better form, Eero Vasa or Matteo Gribaldo?

Eero Vasa is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Matteo Gribaldo is 6-4 (current streak: 5 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Eero Vasa and Matteo Gribaldo?

Eero Vasa is rated 6470 (ATP #593) and Matteo Gribaldo is rated 6474 (ATP #580). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Eero Vasa vs Matteo Gribaldo?

Eero Vasa is priced at -1429 and Matteo Gribaldo at +508, which implies a 93% and 16% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.