Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Eero Vasa
Updated
Eero Vasa beat Luis Carlos Alvarez 6-4, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Luis Carlos Alvarez at 56%. Eero Vasa leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Alvarez is 4-6 in their last 10, Vasa 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Luis Carlos Alvarez a 56% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: 0 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Luis Carlos Alvarez at -123 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Luis Carlos Alvarez | Eero Vasa | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6482 | 6470 |
| Tour rank | ATP #555 | ATP #593 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 20-10 | 35-29 |
| UTR | 14.01 | 13.64 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1382 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Eero Vasa leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.2026 | Eero Vasa | 6-4, 7-6 | Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX |
Recent form
Luis Carlos Alvarez, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Adrian Oetzbach | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Andrea De Marchi | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Gabriele Bosio | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Eric Vanshelboim | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Eero Vasa | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Svyatoslav Gulin | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 18.08.2026 | Rio Noguchi | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 16.08.2026 | Karl Poling | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 15.08.2026 | Max Sheldon | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Eero Vasa, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Matteo Gribaldo | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Michael Wright | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 14.10.2026 | Giorgio Tabacco | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Luis Carlos Alvarez | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 25.09.2026 | Samir Banerjee | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Wojciech Marek | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 23.09.2026 | Kenzo Koistila Larsson | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Sizya Ernest Kivanda | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.09.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 06.09.2026 | Adrian Oetzbach | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Luis Carlos Alvarez | Eero Vasa |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Oetzbach | 0-1 L 6-4, 5-7, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-0 |
| Giorgio Tabacco | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-0, 6-1, L 7-6, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-12: ATP Santa Margherita Di Pula IX (Italy), model gave Luis Carlos Alvarez 56% at -123
Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Eero Vasa: quick answers
Who won Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Eero Vasa?
Eero Vasa beat Luis Carlos Alvarez 6-4, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Luis Carlos Alvarez at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Luis Carlos Alvarez and Eero Vasa?
Eero Vasa leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 13, 2026, won by Eero Vasa 6-4, 7-6 at Italy Santa Margherita Di Pula IX.
Who is in better form, Luis Carlos Alvarez or Eero Vasa?
Luis Carlos Alvarez is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Eero Vasa is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Luis Carlos Alvarez and Eero Vasa?
Luis Carlos Alvarez is rated 6482 (ATP #555) and Eero Vasa is rated 6470 (ATP #593). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Luis Carlos Alvarez vs Eero Vasa?
Luis Carlos Alvarez is priced at -123 and Eero Vasa at -112, which implies a 55% and 53% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.