Maxim Mrva vs Dusan Lajovic
Updated
Maxim Mrva beat Dusan Lajovic 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Dusan Lajovic at 70%. Maxim Mrva leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mrva is 5-5 in their last 10, Lajovic 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Dusan Lajovic a 70% favorite. At -145 the sportsbook implies 59% for Dusan Lajovic, 11 points below the model's 70%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Dusan Lajovic at -145 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Maxim Mrva | Dusan Lajovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6700 | 6790 |
| Tour rank | ATP #220 | ATP #128 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 36-32 | 30-29 |
| UTR | 14.33 | 14.79 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1509 | 1639 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Clay | Grass |
Head to head
Maxim Mrva leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | 7-6, 7-6 | France Lyon |
Recent form
Maxim Mrva, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Dusan Lajovic | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Jacob Fearnley | L | 6-0, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Francesco Maestrelli | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hynek Barton | W | 6-2, 2-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Izan Almazan Valiente | L | 7-5, 0-6, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Mykyta Mashtakov | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 07.9.2026 | Marvin Moeller | L | 5-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Federico Iannaccone | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Dusan Lajovic, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Maxim Mrva | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 15.09.2026 | Diego Dedura Palomero | L | 5-1 |
| 13.09.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 12.09.2026 | Max Alcala Gurri | W | 6-3, 3-0 |
| 11.09.2026 | Henrique Rocha | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 10.09.2026 | Calvin Hemery | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 27.08.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 26.08.2026 | David Jorda Sanchis | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 25.08.2026 | Soon Woo Kwon | W | 4-6, 7-5, 3-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Maxim Mrva | Dusan Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Edas Butvilas | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Jonas Forejtek | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 5-7, 6-4 |
| Lloyd Harris | 0-1 L 6-3, 5-7, 6-2 |
2-0 W 0-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Pierre Hugues Herbert | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Lyon (X) (France), model gave Maxim Mrva 30% at +108
Maxim Mrva vs Dusan Lajovic: quick answers
Who won Maxim Mrva vs Dusan Lajovic?
Maxim Mrva beat Dusan Lajovic 7-6, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Dusan Lajovic at 70%.
What is the head-to-head record between Maxim Mrva and Dusan Lajovic?
Maxim Mrva leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Maxim Mrva 7-6, 7-6 at France Lyon.
Who is in better form, Maxim Mrva or Dusan Lajovic?
Maxim Mrva is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Dusan Lajovic is 6-4 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Maxim Mrva and Dusan Lajovic?
Maxim Mrva is rated 6700 (ATP #220) and Dusan Lajovic is rated 6790 (ATP #128). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Maxim Mrva vs Dusan Lajovic?
Maxim Mrva is priced at +108 and Dusan Lajovic at -145, which implies a 48% and 59% chance to win. The model rates Dusan Lajovic 11 points higher than the odds do (70% vs 59%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.