Matei Todoran vs Dusan Bazdar

ATP Bol III (Croatia), Clay. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 04:00.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Matei Todoran, giving them a 68% chance to win against Dusan Bazdar (32%). Matei Todoran leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Todoran is 3-7 in their last 10, Bazdar 1-8. At +349, the odds imply 22% for Dusan Bazdar, below the model's 32%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Matei Todoran a 68% favorite. At +349 the sportsbook implies 22% for Dusan Bazdar, 10 points below the model's 32%.

Model
68%
Book
87%

Model minus book: -19 pts

Model
32%
Book
22%

Model minus book: +10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Dusan Bazdar at +349 · Model track record

Player comparison

Matei TodoranDusan Bazdar
Tennis Gauge rating61875943
Tour rankATP #1675ATP #3298
Last 10 matches3-71-8
Last 30 days2-20-1
Current streak1 Loss4 Losses
Season record9-121-8
UTR12.7511.59

Head to head

Matei Todoran leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Matei Todoran6-4, 6-0Croatia Bol III

Recent form

Matei Todoran, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Geoffrey Blancaneaux L6-4, 6-3
20.10.2026Dusan Bazdar W6-4, 6-0
13.10.2026Viacheslav Bielinskyi L6-3, 6-2
01.10.2026Filip Cristian Jianu L6-4, 6-3
29.09.2026Gheorghe Claudiu Schinteie W6-3, 5-7, 7-6
09.09.2026Orel Kimhi L6-3, 1-6, 6-1
23.07.2026Lucian Stefan Andrei W6-3, 7-6
23.07.2026Radu David Turcanu L6-4, 6-2
06.07.2026Andrew Johnson L6-4, 6-4
02.06.2026Jamie Mackenzie L1-6, 3-6

Dusan Bazdar, last 9

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Matei Todoran L6-4, 6-0
12.09.2026Henry Best L6-4, 6-2
18.08.2026Semen Pankin L6-2, 6-1
07.06.2026Georgi Georgiev L7-5, 6-4
06.06.2026Pavle Markus W6-1, 6-1
03.06.2026Anton Arzhankin L6-4, 6-2
16.05.2026Jiang Yi Qing L2-6, 6-2, 1-0
21.03.2026Nicolo Toffanin L6-3, 6-1
02.12.2025Yassine Dlimi L6-0, 2-6, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Matei Todoran vs Dusan Bazdar: quick answers

Who will win Matei Todoran vs Dusan Bazdar?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Matei Todoran, giving them a 68% chance to win against Dusan Bazdar (32%).

What is the head-to-head record between Matei Todoran and Dusan Bazdar?

Matei Todoran leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Matei Todoran 6-4, 6-0 at Croatia Bol III.

Who is in better form, Matei Todoran or Dusan Bazdar?

Matei Todoran is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Dusan Bazdar is 1-8 (current streak: 4 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Matei Todoran and Dusan Bazdar?

Matei Todoran is rated 6187 (ATP #1675) and Dusan Bazdar is rated 5943 (ATP #3298). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Matei Todoran vs Dusan Bazdar?

Matei Todoran is priced at -667 and Dusan Bazdar at +349, which implies a 87% and 22% chance to win. The model rates Dusan Bazdar 10 points higher than the odds do (32% vs 22%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.