Maria Sara Popa vs Dunja Maric

WTA Heraklion (XI) (Greece), Clay. Friday, October 16, 2026, 01:30.

Updated

Maria Sara Popa beat Dunja Maric 6-2, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Maria Sara Popa leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Popa is 6-4 in their last 10, Maric 5-5.

Result: Maria Sara Popa beat Dunja Maric 6-2, 6-0. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Maria Sara Popa a 71% favorite. At -213 the sportsbook implies 68% for Maria Sara Popa, 3 points below the model's 71%.

Model
71%
Book
68%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
29%
Book
41%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Maria Sara Popa at -213 · Model track record

Player comparison

Maria Sara PopaDunja Maric
Tennis Gauge rating65816492
Tour rankWTA #425WTA #562
Last 10 matches6-45-5
Last 30 days1-04-2
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record43-2245-25
UTR11.4611.09
Elo (52 weeks)1381–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Maria Sara Popa leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Maria Sara Popa6-2, 6-0Greece Heraklion
16.10.2026Maria Sara Popa6-2, 6-0Greece Heraklion

Recent form

Maria Sara Popa, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Lidia Encheva L6-2, 6-2
16.10.2026Dunja Maric W6-2, 6-0
16.10.2026Dunja Maric W6-2, 6-0
16.10.2026Tilwith Di Girolami L0-6, 6-2, 1-0
13.10.2026Romane Longueville W6-2, 6-2
28.08.2026Georgia Andreea Craciun L4-6, 6-3, 1-0
27.08.2026Simona Ogescu W6-0, 6-7, 6-1
26.08.2026Rachel Gailis W6-4, 6-3
21.08.2026Adrienn Nagy L6-4, 0-6, 6-4
20.08.2026Oana Georgeta Simion W6-4, 6-0

Dunja Maric, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Maria Golovina L6-2, 6-0
27.10.2026Britt Du Pree W6-4, 3-6, 6-0
26.10.2026Ustiniya Lekomtseva W6-2, 6-2
25.10.2026Arya Akkoyun W6-0, 6-1
16.10.2026Maria Sara Popa L6-2, 6-0
16.10.2026Maria Sara Popa L6-2, 6-0
15.10.2026Emma Mazzoni W6-1, 6-2
07.10.2026Vittoria Paganetti L6-2, 6-3
06.10.2026Emma Mazzoni W6-0, 6-3
24.09.2026Alessandra Mazzola L6-2, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentMaria Sara PopaDunja Maric
Alessandra Mazzola 0-1
L 7-6, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 6-2
Andreea Prisacariu 0-1
L 3-6, 7-5, 6-1
1-0
W 6-1, 7-6
Britt Du Pree 1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
1-0
W 6-4, 3-6, 6-0
Diana Ioana Simionescu 2-0
W 6-3, 7-5, W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 6-1, 6-2
Maria Aran Teixido Garcia 0-1
L 6-4, 6-0
0-1
L 6-4, 6-2
Tena Lukas 0-1
L 6-2, 4-6, 6-4
1-0
W 4-6, 6-3, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA Heraklion (XI) (Greece), model gave Maria Sara Popa 71% at -213

Maria Sara Popa vs Dunja Maric: quick answers

Who won Maria Sara Popa vs Dunja Maric?

Maria Sara Popa beat Dunja Maric 6-2, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Maria Sara Popa and Dunja Maric?

Maria Sara Popa leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Maria Sara Popa 6-2, 6-0 at Greece Heraklion.

Who is in better form, Maria Sara Popa or Dunja Maric?

Maria Sara Popa is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Dunja Maric is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Maria Sara Popa and Dunja Maric?

Maria Sara Popa is rated 6581 (WTA #425) and Dunja Maric is rated 6492 (WTA #562). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Maria Sara Popa vs Dunja Maric?

Maria Sara Popa is priced at -213 and Dunja Maric at +145, which implies a 68% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Maria Sara Popa 3 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 68%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.