Gavin Young vs Duncan Chan
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Duncan Chan, giving them a 78% chance to win against Gavin Young (22%). Gavin Young leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Young is 4-6 in their last 10, Chan 4-6. At -227, the odds imply 69% for Duncan Chan, below the model's 78%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Duncan Chan a 78% favorite. At -227 the sportsbook implies 69% for Duncan Chan, 8 points below the model's 78%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Duncan Chan at -227 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Gavin Young | Duncan Chan | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6516 | 6552 |
| Tour rank | ATP #498 | ATP #417 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 29-21 | 27-19 |
| UTR | 13.89 | 14.11 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1394 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Clay |
Head to head
Gavin Young leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Gavin Young | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 | USA Fort Worth |
Recent form
Gavin Young, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Daniil Ostapenkov | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Kenta Miyoshi | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Alex Rybakov | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 19.10.2026 | Duncan Chan | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | James Trotter | W | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 10.08.2026 | Edward Winter | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 09.08.2026 | William Manning | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 02.08.2026 | Soon Woo Kwon | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 30.07.2026 | Jack Anthrop | L | 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 |
Duncan Chan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Benjamin Willwerth | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 19.10.2026 | Gavin Young | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Roger Pascual Ferra | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | Colton Smith | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Keaton Hance | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Denis Petak | W | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.08.2026 | Taro Daniel | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 04.08.2026 | Thiago Agustin Tirante | L | 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 01.08.2026 | Hugo Gaston | W | 2-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 29.07.2026 | Dane Sweeny | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Gavin Young | Duncan Chan |
|---|---|---|
| Aidan Kim | 0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Daniel Milavsky | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Dhakshineswar Suresh | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Sebastian Gorzny | 0-1 L 5-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
0-2 L 4-6, 7-6, 6-3, L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Yassine Dlimi | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gavin Young 22% at +129
- 2026-10-18: ATP Fort Worth (X) (USA), model gave Gavin Young 22% at +129
Gavin Young vs Duncan Chan: quick answers
Who will win Gavin Young vs Duncan Chan?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Duncan Chan, giving them a 78% chance to win against Gavin Young (22%).
What is the head-to-head record between Gavin Young and Duncan Chan?
Gavin Young leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Gavin Young 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 at USA Fort Worth.
Who is in better form, Gavin Young or Duncan Chan?
Gavin Young is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Duncan Chan is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Gavin Young and Duncan Chan?
Gavin Young is rated 6516 (ATP #498) and Duncan Chan is rated 6552 (ATP #417). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Gavin Young vs Duncan Chan?
Gavin Young is priced at +149 and Duncan Chan at -227, which implies a 40% and 69% chance to win. The model rates Duncan Chan 8 points higher than the odds do (78% vs 69%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.