Duje Markovina vs Nicolas Arseneault
Updated
Nicolas Arseneault beat Duje Markovina 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Nicolas Arseneault leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Markovina is 4-6 in their last 10, Arseneault 7-3.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Nicolas Arseneault a 81% favorite. At -120 the sportsbook implies 55% for Nicolas Arseneault, 26 points below the model's 81%.
Model minus book: -35 pts
Model minus book: +26 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nicolas Arseneault at -120 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Duje Markovina | Nicolas Arseneault | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6319 | 6398 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1081 | ATP #788 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 5 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 31-22 | 28-24 |
| UTR | 13.16 | 13.73 |
Head to head
Nicolas Arseneault leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Nicolas Arseneault | 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 | USA Lexington |
Recent form
Duje Markovina, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Nicolas Arseneault | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Neo Niedner | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Charlie Swaine | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 29.07.2026 | Ymerali Ibraimi | L | 7-6, 3-6, 7-5 |
| 25.07.2026 | Jake Delaney | L | 5-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 24.07.2026 | Chase Ferguson | W | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 23.07.2026 | Blake Ellis | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 22.07.2026 | Ashton Mcleod | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 22.07.2026 | Ashton Mcleod | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 15.07.2026 | Jake Delaney | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
Nicolas Arseneault, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Rodrigo Fernandes | L | 6-1, 3-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Rethin Pranav Senthil Kumar | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tomasz Berkieta | W | 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Eli Stephenson | L | 6-2, 1-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Duje Markovina | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 26.09.2026 | Roger Pascual Ferra | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 25.09.2026 | Viktor Markov | W | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 25.09.2026 | Rodrigo Fernandes | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Aryan Shah | W | 7-6, 6-0 |
| 23.09.2026 | Jeremy Zhang | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Lexington (X) (USA), model gave Duje Markovina 19% at -120
Duje Markovina vs Nicolas Arseneault: quick answers
Who won Duje Markovina vs Nicolas Arseneault?
Nicolas Arseneault beat Duje Markovina 6-3, 6-7, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Duje Markovina and Nicolas Arseneault?
Nicolas Arseneault leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Nicolas Arseneault 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 at USA Lexington.
Who is in better form, Duje Markovina or Nicolas Arseneault?
Duje Markovina is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Nicolas Arseneault is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Duje Markovina and Nicolas Arseneault?
Duje Markovina is rated 6319 (ATP #1081) and Nicolas Arseneault is rated 6398 (ATP #788). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Duje Markovina vs Nicolas Arseneault?
Duje Markovina is priced at -120 and Nicolas Arseneault at -120, which implies a 55% and 55% chance to win. The model rates Nicolas Arseneault 26 points higher than the odds do (81% vs 55%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.