Sergey Fomin vs Dominik Palan

ATP Qian Daohu (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 07:10.

Updated

Sergey Fomin beat Dominik Palan 7-6, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Sergey Fomin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fomin is 3-7 in their last 10, Palan 2-8.

Result: Sergey Fomin beat Dominik Palan 7-6, 7-5. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sergey Fomin a 77% favorite. At -204 the sportsbook implies 67% for Sergey Fomin, 10 points below the model's 77%.

Model
77%
Book
67%

Model minus book: +10 pts

Model
23%
Book
38%

Model minus book: -15 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sergey Fomin at -204 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sergey FominDominik Palan
Tennis Gauge rating65226431
Tour rankATP #485ATP #687
Last 10 matches3-72-8
Last 30 days0-30-4
Current streak3 Losses2 Losses
Season record36-3134-32
UTR13.8613.43
Elo (52 weeks)13241177
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Sergey Fomin leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Sergey Fomin7-6, 7-5China Qian Daohu

Recent form

Sergey Fomin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Liam Broady L5-7, 7-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate L6-2, 4-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Martin Borisiouk L6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Yusuke Takahashi W6-4, 6-1
15.10.2026Matthew Shearer W6-2, 6-2
14.10.2026Dominik Palan W7-6, 7-5
05.10.2026Timofei Derepasko L6-2, 7-6
30.09.2026Sumit Nagal L6-3, 6-2
16.09.2026Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong L6-3, 6-1
08.09.2026Yi Zhou L7-6, 7-5

Dominik Palan, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Egor Pleshivtsev L3-6, 6-1, 7-6
20.10.2026Liam Broady L6-7, 6-4, 6-2
19.10.2026Semen Pankin W6-4, 6-2
18.10.2026Arthur Weber W6-7, 7-6, 6-4
14.10.2026Sergey Fomin L7-6, 7-5
06.10.2026Keisuke Saitoh L7-6, 6-4
28.09.2026Terence Atmane L6-1, 6-4
23.09.2026Kuan Shou Chen L6-3, 6-3
15.09.2026Martin Borisiouk L5-7, 6-2, 7-5
07.9.2026Hiroki Moriya L4-6, 6-1, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSergey FominDominik Palan
Liam Broady 0-1
L 5-7, 7-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-7, 6-4, 6-2
Martin Borisiouk 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 5-7, 6-2, 7-5
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
1-1
L 6-1, 6-4, W 6-7, 6-4, 7-5
Timofei Derepasko 0-1
L 6-2, 7-6
0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
Volodymyr Iakubenko 1-0
W 6-2, 6-2
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
Xiaofei Wang 1-0
W 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 6-3, 7-5
Yanki Erel 0-1
L 6-2, 3-6, 7-6
0-1
L 3-6, 7-6, 6-2

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Qian Daohu (China), model gave Sergey Fomin 77% at -204

Sergey Fomin vs Dominik Palan: quick answers

Who won Sergey Fomin vs Dominik Palan?

Sergey Fomin beat Dominik Palan 7-6, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Sergey Fomin and Dominik Palan?

Sergey Fomin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Sergey Fomin 7-6, 7-5 at China Qian Daohu.

Who is in better form, Sergey Fomin or Dominik Palan?

Sergey Fomin is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Dominik Palan is 2-8 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sergey Fomin and Dominik Palan?

Sergey Fomin is rated 6522 (ATP #485) and Dominik Palan is rated 6431 (ATP #687). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sergey Fomin vs Dominik Palan?

Sergey Fomin is priced at -204 and Dominik Palan at +165, which implies a 67% and 38% chance to win. The model rates Sergey Fomin 10 points higher than the odds do (77% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.