Dominik Palan vs Semen Pankin
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Semen Pankin, giving them a 86% chance to win against Dominik Palan (14%). They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Palan is 2-8 in their last 10, Pankin 4-6. At -200, the odds imply 67% for Semen Pankin, below the model's 86%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Semen Pankin a 86% favorite. At -200 the sportsbook implies 67% for Semen Pankin, 19 points below the model's 86%.
Model minus book: -28 pts
Model minus book: +19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Semen Pankin at -200 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Dominik Palan | Semen Pankin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6431 | 6457 |
| Tour rank | ATP #687 | ATP #626 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 34-32 | 71-29 |
| UTR | 13.43 | 14.0 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1150 | 1274 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Dominik Palan | 6-4, 6-2 | China Guangzhou |
| 10.08.2026 | Semen Pankin | 6-1, 6-4 | Kazakhstan Astana |
Recent form
Dominik Palan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | L | 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Liam Broady | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Semen Pankin | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Sergey Fomin | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Keisuke Saitoh | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Terence Atmane | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.09.2026 | Kuan Shou Chen | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | L | 5-7, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.9.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
Semen Pankin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | L | 6-7, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Egor Pleshivtsev | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Maxim Zhukov | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Dominik Palan | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Xi Cheng Huang | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 11.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | L | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 05.10.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 29.09.2026 | Alex Bolt | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 24.09.2026 | Sheng Tang | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Yaojie Zeng | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Dominik Palan | Semen Pankin |
|---|---|---|
| Egor Pleshivtsev | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Luc Koenig | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-0 |
| Timofei Derepasko | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Vadym Ursu | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-5 |
1-1 L 6-4, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Yanki Erel | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Dominik Palan 15% at +139
- 2026-10-18: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Dominik Palan 15% at +139
Dominik Palan vs Semen Pankin: quick answers
Who will win Dominik Palan vs Semen Pankin?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Semen Pankin, giving them a 86% chance to win against Dominik Palan (14%).
What is the head-to-head record between Dominik Palan and Semen Pankin?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Dominik Palan 6-4, 6-2 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Dominik Palan or Semen Pankin?
Dominik Palan is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Semen Pankin is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Dominik Palan and Semen Pankin?
Dominik Palan is rated 6431 (ATP #687) and Semen Pankin is rated 6457 (ATP #626). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Dominik Palan vs Semen Pankin?
Dominik Palan is priced at +136 and Semen Pankin at -200, which implies a 42% and 67% chance to win. The model rates Semen Pankin 19 points higher than the odds do (86% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.