Dominic Stricker vs Otto Virtanen
Updated
Dominic Stricker beat Otto Virtanen 7-5, 5-7, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Otto Virtanen at 68%. Dominic Stricker leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stricker is 5-5 in their last 10, Virtanen 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Otto Virtanen a 68% favorite. At -156 the sportsbook implies 61% for Otto Virtanen, 7 points below the model's 68%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Otto Virtanen at -156 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Dominic Stricker | Otto Virtanen | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6690 | 6775 |
| Tour rank | ATP #229 | ATP #136 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 2-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 41-17 | 37-26 |
| UTR | 14.53 | 14.98 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1579 | 1653 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Dominic Stricker leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Dominic Stricker | 7-5, 5-7, 6-3 | France Roanne |
Recent form
Dominic Stricker, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | L | 4-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Otto Virtanen | W | 7-5, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Philip Henning | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Laslo Djere | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 05.10.2026 | Marko Topo | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 01.10.2026 | Henry Bernet | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 30.09.2026 | Liam Broady | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-1 |
| 18.09.2026 | Joao Fonseca | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 25.08.2026 | Martin Krumich | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
Otto Virtanen, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Matisse Bobichon | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Matteo Martineau | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Vitaliy Sachko | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Dominic Stricker | L | 7-5, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Remy Bertola | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Tiago Pereira | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Lucas Catarina | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-7, 6-7, 6-0, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 26.08.2026 | Jack Pinnington Jones | W | 2-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Dominic Stricker | Otto Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 5-7, 7-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Roanne (France), model gave Dominic Stricker 32% at +111
Dominic Stricker vs Otto Virtanen: quick answers
Who won Dominic Stricker vs Otto Virtanen?
Dominic Stricker beat Otto Virtanen 7-5, 5-7, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Otto Virtanen at 68%.
What is the head-to-head record between Dominic Stricker and Otto Virtanen?
Dominic Stricker leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Dominic Stricker 7-5, 5-7, 6-3 at France Roanne.
Who is in better form, Dominic Stricker or Otto Virtanen?
Dominic Stricker is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Otto Virtanen is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Dominic Stricker and Otto Virtanen?
Dominic Stricker is rated 6690 (ATP #229) and Otto Virtanen is rated 6775 (ATP #136). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Dominic Stricker vs Otto Virtanen?
Dominic Stricker is priced at +111 and Otto Virtanen at -156, which implies a 47% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Otto Virtanen 7 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 61%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.