Pierluigi Basile vs Dmitry Popko
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Pierluigi Basile, giving them a 68% chance to win against Dmitry Popko (32%). Pierluigi Basile leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Basile is 6-4 in their last 10, Popko 8-2. At -130, the odds imply 57% for Pierluigi Basile, below the model's 68%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Pierluigi Basile a 68% favorite. At -130 the sportsbook implies 57% for Pierluigi Basile, 11 points below the model's 68%.
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pierluigi Basile at -130 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Pierluigi Basile | Dmitry Popko | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6540 | 6453 |
| Tour rank | ATP #444 | ATP #635 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 6-4 | 10-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 31-21 | 41-16 |
| UTR | 14.11 | 13.86 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1287 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Hard | – |
Head to head
Pierluigi Basile leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Pierluigi Basile | 6-4, 7-6 | Italy Florence |
Recent form
Pierluigi Basile, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Alex Marti Pujolras | L | 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Dmitry Popko | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Federico Iannaccone | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Tommaso Compagnucci | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 13.10.2026 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu | W | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Massimo Giunta | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Martin Krumich | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Max Wiskandt | W | 6-7, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Kai Wehnelt | W | 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 |
Dmitry Popko, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Philip Henning | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Aleksander Chayka | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 19.10.2026 | Pierluigi Basile | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Daniele Rapagnetta | W | 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Stijn Paardekooper | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Matic Dimic | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alessio Basile | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 30.09.2026 | Andrea Fiorentini | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 29.09.2026 | David Tixhon | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 27.09.2026 | Michele Mecarelli | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Pierluigi Basile | Dmitry Popko |
|---|---|---|
| Daniele Rapagnetta | 1-0 W 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 2-6, 6-1 |
| Francesco Ferrari | 1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Philip Henning | 0-1 L 6-2, 1-0 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Dmitry Popko 28% at -111
- 2026-10-18: ATP Florence (Italy), model gave Dmitry Popko 28% at -111
Pierluigi Basile vs Dmitry Popko: quick answers
Who will win Pierluigi Basile vs Dmitry Popko?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Pierluigi Basile, giving them a 68% chance to win against Dmitry Popko (32%).
What is the head-to-head record between Pierluigi Basile and Dmitry Popko?
Pierluigi Basile leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Pierluigi Basile 6-4, 7-6 at Italy Florence.
Who is in better form, Pierluigi Basile or Dmitry Popko?
Pierluigi Basile is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Dmitry Popko is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Pierluigi Basile and Dmitry Popko?
Pierluigi Basile is rated 6540 (ATP #444) and Dmitry Popko is rated 6453 (ATP #635). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Pierluigi Basile vs Dmitry Popko?
Pierluigi Basile is priced at -130 and Dmitry Popko at -108, which implies a 57% and 52% chance to win. The model rates Pierluigi Basile 11 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 57%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.