James Mackinlay vs Dmitry Popko

ATP Marsa (Malta), Hard. Monday, November 2, 2026, 03:10.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Dmitry Popko, giving them a 93% chance to win against James Mackinlay (7%). Mackinlay is 7-3 in their last 10, Popko 8-2. At 0, the odds imply -0% for Dmitry Popko, below the model's 93%.

Prediction

The model makes Dmitry Popko a 93% favorite. At 0 the sportsbook implies -0% for Dmitry Popko, 93 points below the model's 93%.

Model
7%
Book
11%

Model minus book: -3 pts

Model
93%
Book
-0%

Model minus book: +93 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Dmitry Popko at 0 · Model track record

Player comparison

James MackinlayDmitry Popko
Tennis Gauge rating62706453
Tour rankATP #1283ATP #635
Last 10 matches7-38-2
Last 30 days2-03-1
Current streak2 Wins2 Wins
Season record7-341-16
UTR12.1213.86

Head to head

James Mackinlay and Dmitry Popko haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

James Mackinlay, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Alberto Bronzetti W6-4, 6-3
28.10.2026Gilles Arnaud Bailly W6-3, 6-1
05.07.2026Patrick Brady L6-2, 6-1
17.05.2026Ben Hudson W6-4, 1-6, 7-6
16.05.2026Tyler Stice W6-2, 6-4
15.05.2026Samuel Zlotnik W6-2, 6-4
14.05.2026Cameron Fryer L6-2, 2-6, 6-3
12.05.2026Robert Cowley W6-4, 6-7, 6-3
11.05.2026Dylan Leeman L6-3, 6-3
22.03.2026Alexander Maggs W6-1, 7-5

Dmitry Popko, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Philip Henning W7-6, 6-2
28.10.2026Aleksander Chayka W6-3, 6-2
19.10.2026Pierluigi Basile L6-4, 7-6
18.10.2026Daniele Rapagnetta W6-2, 2-6, 6-1
03.10.2026Stijn Paardekooper L6-4, 6-3
02.10.2026Matic Dimic W7-5, 6-4
01.10.2026Alessio Basile W6-4, 7-5
30.09.2026Andrea Fiorentini W6-1, 6-3
29.09.2026David Tixhon W6-3, 6-2
27.09.2026Michele Mecarelli W6-0, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: ATP Marsa (Malta), model gave James Mackinlay 7% at +827
  • 2026-10-31: ATP Marsa (Malta), model gave James Mackinlay 7% at +827
  • 2026-10-30: ATP Marsa (Malta), model gave James Mackinlay 7% at +827

James Mackinlay vs Dmitry Popko: quick answers

Who will win James Mackinlay vs Dmitry Popko?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Dmitry Popko, giving them a 93% chance to win against James Mackinlay (7%).

Have James Mackinlay and Dmitry Popko played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, James Mackinlay or Dmitry Popko?

James Mackinlay is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Dmitry Popko is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate James Mackinlay and Dmitry Popko?

James Mackinlay is rated 6270 (ATP #1283) and Dmitry Popko is rated 6453 (ATP #635). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for James Mackinlay vs Dmitry Popko?

James Mackinlay is priced at +827 and Dmitry Popko at 0, which implies a 11% and -0% chance to win. The model rates Dmitry Popko 93 points higher than the odds do (93% vs -0%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.